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Prediction markets for Jewishness

Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?

Apr 24, 11:26 PMApr 24, 11:20 PM

31.4%chance

187419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14782

6765

🇮🇱 🇵🇸 What will be the Jewish proportion of the population in Israel and Palestine in 2035?

May 29, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

181648

OptionProbability

More than 60% Jewish

50%–54.9% Jewish

55%–59.9% Jewish

45%–49.9% Jewish

40%–44.9% Jewish

Below 40% Jewish

38

26

22

6

4

4

Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Jewish?

May 6, 3:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.87%chance

271422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

964

Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?

Feb 26, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.35%chance

16495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1164

930

Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027?

Nov 2, 3:12 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.52%chance

16473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

941

Will the Jewish population of the world be greater in 2030 than in 2020?

Mar 4, 11:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

90.64%chance

13327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1309

935

Will the Jewish Museum Shooter (Elias Rodriguez) be killed by capital punishment before the end of 2029?

May 23, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.35%chance

15284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Will the "core" Jewish population of the USA be greater than that of Israel by 2030

Mar 4, 11:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.19%chance

12243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1111

949

Will I host at least 8 Jewish dinners by December 31st, 2025 (Shabbats or Jewish holidays)

Jan 17, 9:15 PMJan 3, 12:00 AM

49.88%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

Temple mount controlled by a Jewish group

Nov 9, 6:20 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

21.81%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

58

Will the "core" Jewish population of the UK be greater than that of Canada by 2030?

Mar 4, 11:21 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

31.63%chance

329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

93

The winner of the 2028 election will be whoever the Jewish population supports.

Nov 10, 8:43 PMNov 18, 5:59 AM

50.99%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

980

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