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Joint Policy Statement News
Prediction markets for Joint Policy Statement
Prediction markets for Joint Policy Statement
Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
Mar 5, 4:43 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
51.66%
chance
24
9456
Option
Votes
NO
YES
103
97
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Jun 22, 2:04 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
68.5%
chance
18
802
Option
Votes
NO
YES
147
68
Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?
Mar 1, 4:06 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22.59%
chance
12
744
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1031
884
Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
Feb 8, 4:59 AM
Dec 30, 10:59 PM
43.52%
chance
6
225
Option
Votes
YES
NO
136
56
Will Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Mar 4, 7:54 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
27.41%
chance
5
125
Option
Votes
YES
NO
163
61
US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
May 18, 5:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20.88%
chance
5
115
Option
Votes
YES
NO
195
51
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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