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Prediction markets for Jolt

Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jun 15, 8:53 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

16%chance

4124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

196

70

Will the July 2026 U.S. U-6 unemployment rate be at least 8.0%?

Jun 15, 11:14 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

53.81%chance

693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

95

Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 30, 12:21 AMOct 2, 12:25 PM

44.77%chance

478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

Will the July 2026 U.S. labor force participation rate be at least 62.0%?

Jun 15, 10:16 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

18%chance

268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168

78

Will the November 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 2, 12:12 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

39.04%chance

534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

93

Will July 2026 U.S. average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 15, 9:16 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

48.47%chance

333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

87

Will July 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 15, 12:04 AMAug 7, 12:25 PM

36%chance

229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

79

Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jul 3, 3:06 AMNov 6, 1:25 PM

31.49%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

86

Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 29, 4:11 AMDec 4, 1:25 PM

41.37%chance

318

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

88

Will August 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?

Jun 17, 12:16 PMSep 4, 12:25 PM

50.04%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

Will the August 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?

Jun 17, 4:13 PMSep 4, 12:25 PM

33.64%chance

14

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

98

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