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Prediction markets for Jones

Will Alex Jones start a new media venture within 2 years of Infowars being shut down?

Jun 29, 5:51 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

98.67%chance

119004

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8622

116

Will Boeing be removed from the Dow Jones by the end of 2025?

Sep 12, 3:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.5%chance

164649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4145

241

Will the Jones Act be repealed before 2030?

Jan 2, 10:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.27%chance

373335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1088

667

Will Jon Jones fight Tom Aspinall in 2025?

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.21%chance

132809

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1963

28

Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?

Sep 27, 8:37 PMJan 22, 6:59 AM

36.65%chance

162541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1315

761

Will the Jones Act be loosened if and only if Trump wins the presidency?

Sep 27, 8:40 PMJan 22, 6:59 AM

27.79%chance

102075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will Alex Jones ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:19 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3%chance

301947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1548

941

Daniel Jones starts Week 1 for Colts in 2025 NFL season

Mar 12, 10:02 PMSep 7, 12:00 AM

69.59%chance

91329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1513

661

Will the Jones Act be amended or repealed to ease restrictions on cabotage within the US by 2032?

Jun 7, 4:18 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

25.22%chance

13396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

322

208

Daniel Jones Week 1 starter for Indianapolis Colts?

Jun 6, 5:15 PMSep 4, 11:59 PM

70.01%chance

7180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

Will "Repeal the Jones Act of 1920" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Nov 28, 4:05 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.64%chance

357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

94

Who will win more regular season games in the 2025 NFL season? Jones vs Giants

Mar 18, 2:36 AMJan 12, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

New York Giants

Daniel Jones (as starter)

69

31

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