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Prediction markets for JS

jstlk Stock (Permanent)

Feb 9, 5:42 PMMar 5, 5:42 PM

30.85%chance

447602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1567

423

Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:17 PMSep 29, 5:14 PM

25.85%chance

112527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1694

590

Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?

Sep 28, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.47%chance

311850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1586

488

Will Android still use the Linux kernel by 2035?

Jun 8, 4:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.44%chance

121217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2226

774

If I rewrite Predictionary in WebAssembly, will I notice any significant improvement?

Nov 29, 9:18 AMJan 1, 8:57 AM

37.81%chance

4415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

780

How many new novels will Brandon Sanderson release between today (July 27, 2023) and December 31, 2030?

Jul 27, 2:53 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

40%chance

16369

OptionProbability

NO

YES

490

222

When will JS Pattern Matching reach Stage 3?

May 13, 3:17 PMJan 1, 4:15 PM

3260

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

When will JS Extractors reach Stage 3?

May 8, 7:36 PMJan 1, 8:34 PM

2258

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

Will the Supreme Court rule on a case relating to the copyright status of AI model outputs before 2028?

Mar 25, 3:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.85%chance

6210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

84

When will JS Signals reach Stage 3?

Oct 1, 7:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1206

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

Will @jsuarez pufferfish RL environment be used to calculate friston free energy OR complexity/accuracy/surprise by 2028

Jun 12, 2:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Which of these characters will be alive at the end of Red God (Red Rising book 7)?

Jan 25, 9:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Darrow

Lysander

Sevro

Pax

66

50

50

50

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