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Prediction markets for JS

jstlk Stock (Permanent)

Feb 9, 5:42 PMMar 5, 5:42 PM

31.03%chance

437597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

426

When will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken?

Oct 13, 11:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62194

OptionProbability

2026

Other

Before the end of 2024

2025

99

1

0

0

Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:17 PMSep 29, 5:14 PM

37.81%chance

92116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

780

Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?

Sep 28, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

41.14%chance

281211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1340

628

Will Android still use the Linux kernel by 2035?

Jun 8, 4:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.16%chance

11967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1976

860

If I rewrite Predictionary in WebAssembly, will I notice any significant improvement?

Nov 29, 9:18 AMJan 1, 8:57 AM

37.81%chance

4415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

780

When will JS Pattern Matching reach Stage 3?

May 13, 3:17 PMJan 1, 4:15 PM

3260

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

When will JS Extractors reach Stage 3?

May 8, 7:36 PMJan 1, 8:34 PM

2258

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

Will the Supreme Court rule on a case relating to the copyright status of AI model outputs before 2028?

Mar 25, 3:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.85%chance

6210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

84

When will JS Signals reach Stage 3?

Oct 1, 7:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1206

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

Will not reach Stage 3 by the start of 2029

2025

25

25

25

25

1

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

Jul 27, 3:18 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

85.47%chance

8135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

265

111

Will @jsuarez pufferfish RL environment be used to calculate friston free energy OR complexity/accuracy/surprise by 2028

Jun 12, 2:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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