July News

Japan’s June Eco Watchers Survey 45.9, Foreign Stock Investment 571.9B Yen; US July Manufacturing Indexes Rebound Strongly

16 days ago

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?

Nov 28, 10:02 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

47.5%chance

10430861

OptionVotes

YES

1293

753

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

35.56%chance

14922316

OptionVotes

YES

2728

1145

AI coding agent forecasts from my blog post, through July 4, 2026

Jul 5, 7:26 AMJul 4, 11:59 PM

239556

OptionProbability

Coding agents will close the loop

Coding agents will flip the initiative

“Live learning” will be standard

The multi-agent paradigm will win

The specific model will not matter as much as today; the network of agents will be important

Recursively improving coding agents will succeed in the market

xAI will gain a sizable lead in model quality

Will a majority of tariffs Trump announces in letters in July go into effect for at least a day before September 8?

Jul 14, 6:19 PMSep 7, 11:59 PM

82.93%chance

174626

OptionVotes

YES

2204

454

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?

Nov 28, 10:00 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

21.46%chance

503184

OptionVotes

YES

988

983

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?

Dec 15, 12:43 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

56.28%chance

322682

OptionVotes

YES

1313

617

How many times will I cry emotionally to written work made entirely by an LLM before July 2026?

Oct 11, 4:53 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

50.78%chance

252496

OptionVotes

YES

1016

985

Will Levi's discord server have 20+ members at the end of July?

Jul 20, 6:51 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

82.52%chance

131812

OptionVotes

YES

293

133

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2031?

Dec 16, 3:59 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

70.99%chance

221583

OptionVotes

YES

1691

408

Will I be on the all-time profits leaderboard by 1st July 2026?

Jul 27, 4:54 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57.18%chance

4237

OptionVotes

YES

1156

865

Google Vids discontinued before July 1, 2027?

Jun 30, 8:15 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

58.81%chance

5216

OptionVotes

YES

1195

837

Will the American Boxing Revival Act of 2025 (ABRA) be signed into law by July 4, 2026.

Jul 28, 7:15 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM

52.46%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

1051

952

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Jul 17, 2025
Jul 17, 2025
Japan
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Japan’s June Eco Watchers Survey 45.9, Foreign Stock Investment 571.9B Yen; US July Manufacturing Indexes Rebound Strongly
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July News

Top stories

Prediction markets for July

Prediction markets for July

Prediction markets for July

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

AI coding agent forecasts from my blog post, through July 4, 2026

Will a majority of tariffs Trump announces in letters in July go into effect for at least a day before September 8?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?

How many times will I cry emotionally to written work made entirely by an LLM before July 2026?

Will Levi's discord server have 20+ members at the end of July?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2031?

Will I be on the all-time profits leaderboard by 1st July 2026?

Google Vids discontinued before July 1, 2027?

Will the American Boxing Revival Act of 2025 (ABRA) be signed into law by July 4, 2026.

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

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