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Prediction markets for July

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?

Nov 28, 10:02 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

42.7%chance

11433753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

856

Will any Big Tech Company Start a Public Prediction Market by the end of July 2027

Aug 2, 12:38 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

5131809

OptionProbability

Meta

Amazon

SpaceXAi

Microsoft

Reddit

Bytedance

OpenAI

Anthropic

Discord

Google

62

14

14

13

12

10

6

6

6

5

Will Ukraine join NATO before July 2033?

Jul 2, 5:24 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

30.71%chance

15222806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2999

1011

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?

Nov 28, 10:01 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

28.86%chance

849122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

923

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?

Dec 15, 12:43 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

52.2%chance

454773

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1238

686

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2031?

Dec 16, 3:59 PMOct 1, 9:59 PM

53.84%chance

282676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1285

650

Bitcoin above 100k before July 2027?

Aug 20, 12:58 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

52.85%chance

101990

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

945

Will Levi's discord server have 20+ members at the end of July?

Jul 20, 6:51 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

82.52%chance

131812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

293

133

Will Anthropic file a therapeutic patent before July 2029?

Jun 30, 5:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

71.32%chance

111132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1577

634

Bitcoin below 50k before July 2027?

Aug 25, 12:45 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

29.86%chance

16996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1533

652

Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27)

Jul 28, 2:02 PMJul 26, 11:59 PM

65.73%chance

7577

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1385

722

Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of July 2027?

Aug 26, 9:25 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

46.66%chance

5177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

935

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