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Prediction markets for June attacks

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Jun 20, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.21%chance

298402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6656

150

A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027

Apr 6, 12:42 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8%chance

295455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3391

295

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.68%chance

404470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

984

823

Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?

Jun 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51.46%chance

42257

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

Will Israeli Special Forces attack the Fordow Nuclear Site in 2025?

Jun 17, 10:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

231599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

392

181

India and Pakistan will go for second round of war in 2025 ?

Jun 8, 11:49 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.36%chance

9299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

294

34

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Jul 9, 7:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.13%chance

10293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will the US attack Fordow AGAIN before 2030?

Jun 22, 6:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.02%chance

7260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

When will the first 1000+ drone/missile strike hit Ukraine?

Jul 1, 10:07 AMAug 1, 10:01 AM

2200

Will Trump pardon the Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot defendants?

Jun 14, 5:45 PMDec 31, 6:44 PM

15.56%chance

6137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

Will Mo Chara from Kneecap be found guilty of a terrism offence before the end of 2025?

May 23, 9:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.94%chance

593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Israeli attack on Iran

Jul 28, 2:55 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

440

OptionProbability

Before January 2026

Before November 2025

Before December 2025

Before October 2025

Before September 2025

59

50

50

34

28

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