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Prediction markets for Jupiter

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2030?

Dec 26, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

3.71%chance

176382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1968

915

By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there is life on Jupiter's moon, Europa, that was not brought there by humans?

Dec 2, 8:53 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

6.15%chance

375048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2140

855

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2040?

Oct 13, 11:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

20.17%chance

281686

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

544

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2045?

Dec 19, 1:46 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

14.18%chance

161535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

845

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2050?

Dec 20, 11:15 AMJan 7, 10:59 PM

35.32%chance

191382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

587

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055?

Dec 24, 12:28 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

45.13%chance

201084

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

577

Jupiter moon lander launched by end of 2028?

Jan 7, 10:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.43%chance

11921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1684

839

Will a spacecraft made by humans land on a moon of Jupiter before 2050?

Jun 12, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.3%chance

15831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1502

666

Will the Europa Clipper mission last at least 4 years after arriving at Jupiter?

Aug 31, 7:42 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

80.29%chance

9445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

141

Will you be able to pay to recreationally fly around in the gases of Jupiter before 2100?

Sep 7, 11:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.2%chance

17428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

932

Will there be a human colony on or orbiting Jupiter or a Jovian moon before 2100?

Nov 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.8%chance

10247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

980

Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?

Apr 1, 1:57 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

41.81%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

127

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