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Prediction markets for Jupiter

By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there is life on Jupiter's moon, Europa, that was not brought there by humans?

Dec 2, 8:53 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

6.15%chance

375048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2140

855

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2040?

Oct 13, 11:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11%chance

302166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

971

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2045?

Dec 19, 1:46 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

13.91%chance

191815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

862

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2050?

Dec 20, 11:15 AMJan 7, 10:59 PM

35.67%chance

191389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1148

580

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055?

Dec 24, 12:28 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

44.54%chance

211094

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

587

NASA's mission to the icy moons of Jupiter will discover evidence of extraterrestrial life by 2028

Jul 22, 12:12 AMJul 28, 4:00 AM

5%chance

101037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

538

137

Jupiter moon lander launched by end of 2028?

Jan 7, 10:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.43%chance

11921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1684

839

Will a spacecraft made by humans land on a moon of Jupiter before 2050?

Jun 12, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.3%chance

15831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1502

666

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2060?

Jan 1, 8:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

52.31%chance

12779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

50

Will the Europa Clipper mission last at least 4 years after arriving at Jupiter?

Aug 31, 7:42 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

80.29%chance

9445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

141

Will you be able to pay to recreationally fly around in the gases of Jupiter before 2100?

Sep 7, 11:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.2%chance

17428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

932

Will there be a human colony on or orbiting Jupiter or a Jovian moon before 2100?

Nov 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.85%chance

11276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

963

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