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Top stories

Coinbase Launches Second Stablecoin Bootstrap Fund Deploying USDC, Acquires Deribit, Launches US DEX Trading, Partners with Squads Protocol

Coinbase Launches Second Stablecoin Bootstrap Fund Deploying USDC, Acquires Deribit, Launches US DEX Trading, Partners with Squads Protocol

Authors

15

6 days ago

Prediction markets for Jupiter

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2030?

Dec 26, 5:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

2%chance

187953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3539

872

By the start of 2033, will there be consensus that there is life on Jupiter's moon, Europa, that was not brought there by humans?

Dec 2, 8:53 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

6.15%chance

375048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2140

855

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2040?

Oct 13, 11:03 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

14.15%chance

291936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1004

794

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2045?

Dec 19, 1:46 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

14.18%chance

161535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

845

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2050?

Dec 20, 11:15 AMJan 7, 10:59 PM

35.67%chance

191389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1148

580

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055?

Dec 24, 12:28 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

45.13%chance

201084

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

577

Jupiter moon lander launched by end of 2028?

Jan 7, 10:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.43%chance

11921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1684

839

Will a spacecraft made by humans land on a moon of Jupiter before 2050?

Jun 12, 1:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.3%chance

15831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1502

666

Will you be able to pay to recreationally fly around in the gases of Jupiter before 2100?

Sep 7, 11:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.2%chance

17428

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

932

Which space agency or corporation will be the first to successfully land a spacecraft on one of Jupiter's moons?

Apr 2, 12:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5307

OptionProbability

SpaceX

CNSA

NASA

ESA

Other

JAXA

Roscosmos

34

26

17

12

6

5

0

Will there be a human colony on or orbiting Jupiter or a Jovian moon before 2100?

Nov 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.8%chance

10247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

980

Will China's Tianwen-4 Jupiter mission launch before 2032?

Sep 27, 3:13 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.51%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

66

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