Keep News
Prediction markets for Keep
Will AI take over the world and keep humans as pets before the year 2100
Nov 20, 10:19 AMDec 31, 11:01 PM
23%chance
394623
OptionVotes
1036
727
Will an AI be able to keep us laughing out loud by 2028?
Nov 5, 12:24 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
75.31%chance
663836
OptionVotes
1186
915
If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?
Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
51%chance
362467
OptionVotes
1327
281
Does your body keep track of your sleep debt for more than 2 weeks?
Dec 14, 5:50 AMJan 21, 5:50 AM
23.94%chance
191205
OptionVotes
1057
964
OptionVotes
1506
664
Will Georgia (country) keep its territorial integrity until end of 2030? (The situation will not be worse than now)
Sep 21, 11:04 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM
57.1%chance
9610
OptionVotes
1154
867
Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?
Jan 15, 11:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
17.21%chance
21576
OptionVotes
1264
922
Will a Fields Medalist describe keeping up with new AI math as a "full-time job" before 2029?
May 23, 6:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.16%chance
8367
OptionVotes
1273
786
Will all characters in movie have an option to have a person's name "hover over" their name so that the face-blind can keep track of who is who, by 2027?
Feb 8, 7:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.25%chance
11211
OptionVotes
1114
959
If someone accepts my offer to take their mask off on a plane for $20, will they follow though on keeping it off?
Mar 14, 1:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
86.27%chance
12183
OptionVotes
1119
962
Will "The World Keeps Getting Saved and You Don’t N..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Feb 17, 4:29 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
15.79%chance
120
OptionVotes
1020
885
Will "To Understand History, Keep Former Population..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 22, 11:59 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000