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Prediction markets for KEV

Will Kevin Zhang get a girlfriend before the end of 2026?

Mar 26, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.5%chance

195594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

328

30

Will Kevin Buzzard successfully fulfill his grant specs of formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem in Lean within 5 years?

Nov 2, 12:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

81.11%chance

82353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2072

483

Will Kevin McCarthy ever be elected President?

Oct 2, 2:51 AMJan 9, 3:59 PM

1.79%chance

101143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2077

924

Will Kevin McCarthy run for president by 2044?

Oct 4, 6:10 AMOct 31, 6:59 AM

2.93%chance

91044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

83

Will Kevin Kiley win the Us House race in California 6th in 2026?

Mar 13, 3:13 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

12.79%chance

11840

OptionVotes

YES

NO

518

111

Will Kevin Durant win another NBA championship before he retires?

Feb 23, 6:31 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

15.6%chance

18720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

943

Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1%chance

16487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

331

1

Kevin McCarthy stock (permanent)

Mar 27, 6:26 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

20468

OptionProbability

YES

NO

404

376

Who will reach LGM on codeforces first between kevinyang and YuukiS?

Jun 8, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5285

OptionProbability

kevinyang

YuukiS

Neither

55

32

14

Will Kevin frans and Janus repligate get to MEET before 2027

Feb 12, 9:52 PMDec 10, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will someone accidentally call Sigil Wen "Kevin", as in, "Kevin Wang" or "Kevin Chen" or "Kevin Huang" by EOY2029?

Sep 19, 4:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Should I change my Manifold username to be @kev_warsh OR keep @JeromeHPowell

Jan 30, 5:33 PM

200

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