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Prediction markets for KEV

Will Kevin Zhang get a girlfriend before the end of 2026?

Mar 26, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8%chance

185593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

Will Kevin McCarthy ever be elected President?

Oct 2, 2:51 AMJan 9, 3:59 PM

1.79%chance

101143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2077

924

Will Kevin McCarthy run for president by 2044?

Oct 4, 6:10 AMOct 31, 6:59 AM

2.93%chance

91044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

83

Will Kevin Durant be a Phoenix Suns player on July 1st 2026?

May 4, 9:32 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

1.43%chance

8898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

830

12

Will Kevin Durant win another NBA championship before he retires?

Feb 23, 6:31 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

15.6%chance

18720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

943

Will Kevin Buzzard successfully fulfill his grant specs of formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem in Lean within 5 years?

Nov 2, 12:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.07%chance

8540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1530

654

Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2%chance

16443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

1

Who will reach LGM on codeforces first between kevinyang and YuukiS?

Jun 8, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5275

OptionProbability

kevinyang

YuukiS

Neither

47

37

16

Will Kevin Hart host the Oscars before 2031?

Jan 11, 9:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.77%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

42

Will Kevin Kwok (@antimatter15) visit hylomorph house?

Sep 4, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will someone accidentally call Sigil Wen "Kevin", as in, "Kevin Wang" or "Kevin Chen" or "Kevin Huang" by EOY2029?

Sep 19, 4:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Should I change my Manifold username to be @kev_warsh OR keep @JeromeHPowell

Jan 30, 5:33 PM

200

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