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Prediction markets for KEV

Kevin Rudd out as Australian ambassador to the US by EOY 2026?

Oct 23, 11:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

510050

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9962

101

Will Kevin McCarthy ever be elected President?

Oct 2, 2:51 AMJan 9, 3:59 PM

1.79%chance

101143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2077

924

Will Kevin McCarthy run for president by 2044?

Oct 4, 6:10 AMOct 31, 6:59 AM

2.93%chance

91044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

83

Will Kevin Durant be a Phoenix Suns player on July 1st 2026?

May 4, 9:32 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

1.43%chance

8898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

830

12

Will Kevin Durant win another NBA championship before he retires?

Feb 23, 6:31 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

16.32%chance

17670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

953

Kevin McCarthy stock (permanent)

Mar 27, 6:26 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

20468

OptionProbability

YES

NO

404

376

Kevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?

Jan 6, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.01%chance

15405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

3

Will Kevin Buzzard successfully fulfill his grant specs of formalizing Fermat's Last Theorem in Lean within 5 years?

Nov 2, 12:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.89%chance

8340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

752

Will Kevin frans and Janus repligate get to MEET before 2027

Feb 12, 9:52 PMDec 10, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will someone accidentally call Sigil Wen "Kevin", as in, "Kevin Wang" or "Kevin Chen" or "Kevin Huang" by EOY2029?

Sep 19, 4:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Kevin Kwok (@antimatter15) visit hylomorph house?

Sep 4, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Should I change my Manifold username to be @kev_warsh OR keep @JeromeHPowell

Jan 30, 5:33 PM

200

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