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Prediction markets for Kill It With Fire

Will any one of the ICE members involved in the shooting of Alex Pretti face any consequences at all?

Jan 24, 6:29 PMFeb 23, 6:17 PM

30.18%chance

36355185

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1521

657

Will a government agent kill another American citizen before February 28, 2026?

Jan 25, 12:45 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

39.64%chance

362537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

Who was the character that George R. R. Martin regrets killing (in the ASOIAF universe)?

Jan 9, 10:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

92458

OptionProbability

Other

Grand Maester Pycelle

Kevan Lannister

Maester Aemon

Janos Slynt

Oberyn Martell

Arys Oakheart

Beric Dondarrion

Quentyn Martell

Nimble Dick

Robert Baratheon

18

16

14

10

9

8

6

6

6

6

1

Will fatal ICE shooting in the US occur again before March 2026?

Jan 26, 2:31 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

39%chance

351977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

861

297

Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?

Feb 11, 4:43 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

43%chance

141776

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Is Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the BEAST of Revelation? Yes or no.

Apr 23, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

101641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

568

18

The double-tap strikes on boats in the Caribbean in September 2025. Will any US military personnel be fired? |ADD YOURS

Dec 2, 1:33 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM

231266

OptionProbability

No, no such consequences

Even if firing occurs, the information will not be disclosed before the market end date, which is 31 March 2026.

Other

Yes, in 2025

Yes, in 2026

66

30

2

1

1

Will ICE, including CBP, be involved in violent activities at the 2026 Super Bowl?

Jan 29, 6:04 PMFeb 9, 12:00 AM

13.39%chance

17870

OptionVotes

YES

NO

254

39

Would Trump get a second assassination attempt 2026

Jan 28, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27%chance

6699

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

24

When will the two witnesses (prophets in sackcloth) begin to prophesy in Jerusalem, Israel

Apr 24, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7648

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2028

2029

33

23

17

14

14

China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026

Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM

11.53%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

36

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

50

47

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