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Prediction markets for Kill It With Fire

Would Trump get a second assassination attempt 2026

Jan 28, 9:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99.02%chance

237876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4908

920

Who was the character that George R. R. Martin regrets killing (in the ASOIAF universe)?

Jan 9, 10:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

92458

OptionProbability

Other

Grand Maester Pycelle

Kevan Lannister

Maester Aemon

Janos Slynt

Oberyn Martell

Arys Oakheart

Beric Dondarrion

Quentyn Martell

Nimble Dick

Robert Baratheon

18

16

14

10

9

8

6

6

6

6

1

Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?

Mar 1, 12:15 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

7.49%chance

192278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1094

Who will be found to be at fault in the Air Canada LaGuardia Airport crash?

Mar 23, 11:56 PMSep 23, 11:52 PM

192142

OptionProbability

Multiple parties (shared responsibility)

Other

Air Traffic Controller

Fire Fighters

Flight Crew (pilot/co-pilot)

Investigation inconclusive

57

22

15

3

2

1

Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?

Feb 11, 4:43 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

36.35%chance

161953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

756

Is Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the BEAST of Revelation? Yes or no.

Apr 23, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

101641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

568

18

When will the Iranian protests end?

Jan 15, 9:56 PMFeb 17, 2:59 AM

9731

OptionProbability

Before July 1, 2026

Before January 1, 2027

Before April 1, 2026

Before February 1, 2026

Before February 15, 2026

Before March 1, 2026

77

76

40

3

3

3

When will the two witnesses (prophets in sackcloth) begin to prophesy in Jerusalem, Israel

Apr 24, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7648

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2028

2029

33

23

17

14

14

China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026

Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM

12.17%chance

14558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

37

Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

50

47

The double-tap strikes on boats in the Caribbean in September 2025. Will any US military personnel be fired?

Dec 11, 9:16 PMNov 11, 9:59 PM

50

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