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Prediction markets for Kill It With Fire

Will the Minab school strike be attributed to an Iranian missile by June 2026?

Mar 1, 12:15 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

4.76%chance

233589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3804

1014

Who was the character that George R. R. Martin regrets killing (in the ASOIAF universe)?

Jan 9, 10:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

102832

OptionProbability

Grand Maester Pycelle

Maester Aemon

Other

Maester Luwin

Kevan Lannister

Jon Snow

Janos Slynt

Arys Oakheart

Beric Dondarrion

Quentyn Martell

Nimble Dick

Oberyn Martell

Robert Baratheon

15

15

14

11

9

9

6

4

4

4

4

3

1

Who will be found to be at fault in the Air Canada LaGuardia Airport crash?

Mar 23, 11:56 PMSep 23, 11:52 PM

202352

OptionProbability

Multiple parties (shared responsibility)

Other

Air Traffic Controller

Fire Fighters

Flight Crew (pilot/co-pilot)

Investigation inconclusive

64

19

10

3

2

1

Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?

Feb 11, 4:43 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

36.35%chance

161953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

756

Is Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the BEAST of Revelation? Yes or no.

Apr 23, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

101641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

568

18

When will the Iranian protests end?

Jan 15, 9:56 PMFeb 17, 2:59 AM

10881

OptionProbability

Before July 1, 2026

Before January 1, 2027

Before April 1, 2026

Before March 1, 2026

Before February 15, 2026

Before February 1, 2026

77

76

40

3

2

1

When will the two witnesses (prophets in sackcloth) begin to prophesy in Jerusalem, Israel

Apr 24, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7648

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2028

2029

33

23

17

14

14

China-Japan military clash or armed incident leading to injury by December 31, 2026

Nov 23, 7:58 AMDec 15, 7:54 AM

7.21%chance

17630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

359

28

Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?

Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Whom of his own (individuals belonging to group) will Trump get rid of related to Venezuela (during term)? (add)

Jan 4, 7:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Combatant commanders/Joint Chiefs

Cabinet member

50

47

The double-tap strikes on boats in the Caribbean in September 2025. Will any US military personnel be fired?

Dec 11, 9:16 PMNov 11, 9:59 PM

50

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