Kinds of Kindness News

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?

Feb 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.93%chance

7512299

OptionVotes

YES

6783

271

San Francisco gets some kind of congestion zone pricing system by mid 2030

Jan 15, 9:41 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

36%chance

348496

OptionVotes

YES

1333

750

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

384018

OptionProbability

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

Earbuds

Other

Pen

AR/VR Goggles

Phone

Watch

Wearable badge

What kind of cars will be most sold in 2035?

Mar 8, 3:48 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

433292

OptionProbability

Normal EVs

Self-driving EVs (only non-flying)

Normal combustion engine cars

Flying cars

What kind of settlement will the first large human space colony be? (Population>1000)

Jan 12, 7:02 PMJan 19, 10:59 PM

532931

OptionProbability

Research

Combination (no majority)

Mining

Military

The Rich

Manufacturing

Embassy for established alien contact

Other

A gulag for commies that get purged by other commies

Leisure

Residential

Gambling

What kind of paid subscription service will be offered by Manifold before 2030?

Jan 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

261657

OptionProbability

Paid subscription to get extra boost on your markets

Paid subscription to get cosmetics on your avatar/markets

Paid subscription to get cheaper question creation

Paid subscription to get larger/faster loans

Paid subscription to get priority/exclusive matches in match marking on Manifold.love

Paid subscription to get news feed provided by Manifold

If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be?

Feb 24, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22799

OptionProbability

Microbial life (spectroscopic or mineral signatures of life in the solar system or beyond)

Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information)

UFOs (sightings, disclosures)

Alien technology (extrasolar objects, piece of space junk found on Earth, ancient alien relics)

SETI (radio signals received from afar)

Will some kind of "9/11 but with ships" event happen by the end of 2030?

Apr 3, 3:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.62%chance

15703

OptionVotes

YES

1002

833

Will the EA forum support users estimating values in posts and then supplying some kind of median, by 2030?

Oct 3, 10:37 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

45.63%chance

13471

OptionVotes

YES

1165

825

Will manifold add any kind of confirmation screen to the loan button by end of 2026

Jan 27, 5:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.12%chance

2202

OptionVotes

YES

298

Will there be an Overwatch crossover with Team fortress 2 of any kind by the end of 2027?

Jun 14, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.22%chance

8197

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?

Feb 7, 1:48 PMFeb 8, 6:59 AM

62%chance

12116

OptionVotes

YES

172

133

Kinds of Kindness News

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Prediction markets for Kinds of Kindness

Prediction markets for Kinds of Kindness

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?

San Francisco gets some kind of congestion zone pricing system by mid 2030

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

What kind of cars will be most sold in 2035?

What kind of settlement will the first large human space colony be? (Population>1000)

What kind of paid subscription service will be offered by Manifold before 2030?

If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be?

Will some kind of "9/11 but with ships" event happen by the end of 2030?

Will the EA forum support users estimating values in posts and then supplying some kind of median, by 2030?

Will manifold add any kind of confirmation screen to the loan button by end of 2026

Will there be an Overwatch crossover with Team fortress 2 of any kind by the end of 2027?

Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?

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