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Prediction markets for La

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

2285402

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Before EOY

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

95

2

1

1

1

Will the SF to LA segment of the HSR be completed by 2040?

Mar 13, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

4017145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16703

3098

Will there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?

Dec 31, 6:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.74%chance

556422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2349

513

Will an adversarial attack for the human brain, a la "basilisk" from BLIT, be discovered by 2030?

Jul 29, 5:11 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.51%chance

494997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

786

Will the 2028 Summer Olympics be cancelled or moved out of LA?

Jun 9, 9:59 PMJul 20, 12:00 AM

6.49%chance

134863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3795

264

"Shangri-La diet" theory becomes widely accepted by scientists before 2030.

Nov 30, 9:36 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

8.78%chance

193924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

945

Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?

Jun 3, 11:33 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

44.99%chance

191725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

388

Will Trump threaten to move the 2028 Olympics out of LA?

Jun 9, 6:18 PMJul 14, 10:59 PM

43.85%chance

181590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

884

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.74%chance

121114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

913

Will the USA win the most Gold medals by the end of the 2028 LA Summer Olympics?

Aug 12, 4:42 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM

83.68%chance

141112

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

959

Will a LA governor by 2033 free all non-unanimous jury prisoners, including those reconvicted after retrial?

Jan 9, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

2220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

832

Will a published biography be made out of José Luis Ricón Fernández de la Puente's life by 2030?

Mar 20, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20%chance

5159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

84

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