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Prediction markets for La La Land

Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?

Sep 23, 2:14 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

5010429

OptionProbability

High Speed Rail

Starship

53

47

Will the PRC flag fly on the Moon before it flies on Taiwan?

Dec 11, 7:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

80.25%chance

291896

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1511

823

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.98%chance

8721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1180

890

Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027?

Apr 5, 7:20 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

69%chance

26494

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

[DIRECTOR JAIL?] After the flop of "Babylon", will Damien Chazelle's next feature film have a budget >$50 million?

Mar 21, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.66%chance

8144

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

103

Will major health bodies recommend limiting linoleic acid intake before 2050?

Mar 11, 4:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.62%chance

226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

96

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