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Prediction markets for Labour Day

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32%chance

6317722

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

686

Will Labour form a 2 term government?

May 23, 12:47 PMSep 1, 10:59 PM

33%chance

235221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1447

713

How many MPs will Labour have when the next UK General Election is called?

Nov 30, 6:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91726

OptionProbability

Above 390

Above 395

Above 400

Above 405

Above 410

Above 415

84

77

66

19

7

5

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour Party for longer than Tony Blair did?

Jul 2, 9:18 PMMar 8, 11:59 PM

4.99%chance

15783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

466

50

When will the next UK general election be held?

Dec 16, 12:31 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

4505

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jan 2029

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2027

Before Jan 2026

98

60

35

26

0

Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?

Dec 23, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.65%chance

4119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

978

Will Pod Save America appear on Q + A with Jack Tame?

Jan 21, 8:49 AMMar 1, 8:47 AM

30.35%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

100

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

320

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