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Prediction markets for Lad

Will there be a Bin Laden International Airport, before 2030?

Sep 11, 5:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.31%chance

12979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

945

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

40%chance

16783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

531

Ladybird browser's first alpha version release date?

Sep 9, 7:54 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

2327

OptionProbability

After October 2026

August 2026

September 2026

July 2026

June 2026

October 2026

January 2026

February 2026

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

Before January 2026

23

15

12

10

9

8

4

4

4

4

4

1

Will lada nuzhna ever win a nobel prize

Sep 8, 9:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

3248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Peter Thiel name >=1 kid Sigil Thiel, "Lada Thiel", "Jose Thiel", "Gwern Thiel", "Rochelle Thiel",or "Laria Thiel"?

Dec 19, 6:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.07%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Is Lada Nuzhna the "manic pixie dream girl of longevity"?

Apr 20, 3:15 PMDec 15, 12:47 AM

34.45%chance

370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

72

Did Robert O'Neill actually kill Osama Bin Laden?

Jun 11, 9:07 PMJan 1, 10:06 PM

52.2%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

957

Will Lada Nuzhna's birthday be declared a national holiday in Ukraine by 2100?

Jul 24, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Will Lada Nuzhna have a DunedinPACE rate of aging lower than 0.85?

Feb 28, 5:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

73

67

Will Lada Nuzhna end up owning a pet cockatoo?

Apr 3, 10:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.13%chance

224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

66

38

Will Lada Nuzhna write a glowing letter of reference for Jose Luis Ricon (JLR) by EOY 2034?

Aug 9, 4:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will Lada Nuzhna value her time highly enough to hire a personal assistant by 2027?

Sep 11, 5:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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