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Prediction markets for Land

Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Feb 9, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.66%chance

29957486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9726

428

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Mar 18, 12:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.88%chance

14626206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3832

578

Will P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars?

Dec 28, 12:30 AMFeb 22, 9:22 PM

40.26%chance

14418803

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2496

1058

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Jan 9, 3:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2912632

OptionProbability

>= 2032

2028

2029

2031

2030

2027

Before 2027

38

18

15

13

12

3

1

Will China land men on the moon before the USA?

Jan 5, 9:00 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM

49.44%chance

6010191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3094

1816

Global CO2 emissions in 2050 (excluding land use)?

Jul 2, 4:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

179634

OptionProbability

40 - 49.99

10 - 19.99

30 - 39.99

0 - 9.99

20 - 29.99

50 - 59.99

Below 0

60 - 69.99

70 - 79.99

80 - 89.99

90+

25

19

13

11

11

10

5

2

1

1

1

Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?

Jan 11, 3:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

256011

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

361

Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?

Oct 16, 11:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.63%chance

485495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

733

Will humans successfully land on Mars within the next 30 years?

Oct 10, 5:04 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

69%chance

412671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

894

Will a country other than the United States land a human on the moon before the end of 2031?

Apr 2, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.56%chance

291086

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2101

1910

Will Texas legalize split-rate property tax (and thus Land Value Tax) within 5 years?

Nov 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.27%chance

191063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

870

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Aug 7, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.77%chance

11305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

178

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