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Top stories

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Land of Israel

Will Israel annex any part of Lebanon by the end of 2025?

Sep 27, 1:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.2%chance

568721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3605

791

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.7%chance

266994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7748

3856

Will Israel soft land a probe on the moon before the end of 2025? (Including private companies)

Jan 21, 2:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.17%chance

233486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4323

489

By when will the Israel-Iran ceasefire be broken? [Polymarket]

Jun 26, 1:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

333295

OptionProbability

Wednesday, December 31

Friday, June 27

Friday, July 11

Thursday, July 31

Sunday, August 31

Friday, October 31

6

0

0

0

0

0

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13.08%chance

322986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1738

817

Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?

Sep 12, 7:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.22%chance

252313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1498

897

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

44.93%chance

4889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1107

903

Will Israel establish a concentration camp in Rafah, Gaza by February 2026?

Aug 19, 8:22 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

55.54%chance

11336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

89

Will >90% of the Gaza Strip and Israel be part of the same country before 2035?

Nov 5, 9:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.37%chance

5321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

330

40

Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?

Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

2210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

41.68%chance

4144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Do you support Israel or Palestine? Do you consider your stance to be obviously right?

Aug 3, 1:42 AM

1060

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