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Top stories

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Land of Israel

Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?

Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM

3615252

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

Before June 2026

25

0

0

0

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10%chance

10510235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300

33

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.62%chance

317578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8332

3592

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13.08%chance

322986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1738

817

Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?

Sep 12, 7:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18%chance

262427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

598

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.96%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?

Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.27%chance

6339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

61

Will Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?

Jan 20, 7:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.98%chance

9331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

Will >90% of the Gaza Strip and Israel be part of the same country before 2035?

Nov 5, 9:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.23%chance

5323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

42

Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?

Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.89%chance

4230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Jul 20, 6:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.48%chance

5169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

95

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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