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Top stories

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Netanyahu Signals Push for West Bank Annexation in Settlement Visit

Authors

4

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Land of Israel

Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?

Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM

3211252

OptionProbability

Before 2027

Before June 2026

Before April 2026

Before May 2026

29

9

0

0

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.7%chance

266994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7748

3856

Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?

Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.85%chance

785394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

45

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War

Mar 23, 2:43 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

11.45%chance

403814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2780

360

🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱

Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13.08%chance

322986

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1738

817

Will Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?

Sep 12, 7:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18%chance

262427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

598

Will BP returned to Israel after two years in exile?

Dec 17, 11:48 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.96%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

717

Will the US, Israel and/or one of the non-Iranian Gulf states occupy Larak Island (Iran) before June 1 2026?

Mar 26, 4:58 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

13541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?

Jan 20, 7:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.92%chance

9231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

319

31

Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?

Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.02%chance

3220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?

Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

4192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?

Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM

44.9%chance

6159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

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