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Prediction markets for Land of Israel
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Mar 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 5:13 PM
3211252
OptionProbability
29
9
0
0
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.7%chance
266994
OptionVotes
7748
3856
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Mar 11, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.85%chance
785394
OptionVotes
222
45
OptionVotes
2780
360
🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Nov 1, 6:37 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
13.08%chance
322986
OptionVotes
1738
817
OptionVotes
1011
598
OptionVotes
1395
717
Will the US, Israel and/or one of the non-Iranian Gulf states occupy Larak Island (Iran) before June 1 2026?
Mar 26, 4:58 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
21.21%chance
13541
OptionVotes
193
52
OptionVotes
319
31
Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?
Nov 27, 12:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.02%chance
3220
OptionVotes
130
77
Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?
Mar 22, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33%chance
4192
OptionVotes
142
70
Israeli invasion of Syria in December 2024 involves 20-year land grab?
Aug 28, 9:16 PMDec 9, 4:59 AM
44.9%chance
6159
OptionVotes
111
90