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Prediction markets for Laptop

Will foldable PCs become as common as traditional laptops in the next 5 years?

Oct 13, 3:45 AMOct 20, 6:59 AM

14.63%chance

232760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2402

440

Will Apple release a laptop with OLED display by the end of 2025?

Dec 18, 2:12 PMDec 25, 8:00 AM

10.62%chance

10464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

602

90

What will I game on in 2035?

Dec 4, 9:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4443

OptionProbability

PC / Laptop

Home Console

Handheld Console

Augmented / Virtual Reality

Something totally other

Streaming to any device

Smartphone

Holodeck

Arcade Cabinet

Brain/Computer Interface

80

50

50

50

50

45

39

35

32

25

AI: When will a laptop be smarter than a person?

Dec 11, 6:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50.7%chance

15411

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1061

926

Will US or Canadian flights stop making me put away my laptop during takeoff and landing before 2030?

Dec 12, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.23%chance

14291

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1179

937

Will it be possible to acquire or assemble a Framework laptop with a trackpoint?

Jul 31, 2:54 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

12.38%chance

5205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

24

Will my next laptop use Linux?

Feb 9, 11:13 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.73%chance

772

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

141

Foldable laptop running Linux by end of 2025?

May 25, 8:20 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.73%chance

662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

How unusable will my Lenovo laptop be by EOY 2025?

Jun 12, 2:13 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Will at least one person report a stolen laptop at Lighthaven for the year 2025?

Dec 14, 10:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.72%chance

427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

88

If leaked, what will the "pro-American, and also a gambling reference" code name be for Anduril's USA-made laptop?

Jul 24, 3:02 AMJan 1, 4:00 AM

226

OptionProbability

Other

Omaha

59

41

Will Noisebridge get any external monitors for laptops by EOY2027?

Dec 24, 6:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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