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Prediction markets for Laser

Will there be an epic orbital laser before 2035?

Nov 30, 8:13 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15.26%chance

212629

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1728

793

Will a space trash laser be used to clean orbital debris before 2030?

Apr 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21.67%chance

211284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

909

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2040?

Dec 21, 5:59 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

25%chance

13804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

104

Will the USA have lasers in space capable of destroying enemy satellites by 2027?

Apr 16, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.52%chance

14656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

944

Will ESA’s Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission to detect gravitational waves launch in 2035 as planned?

Jan 28, 10:16 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

38.27%chance

18455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

940

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2035?

Dec 21, 10:33 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

15%chance

13441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

439

241

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2045?

Dec 19, 1:42 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

47.15%chance

7398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

180

143

Will New Zealand adopt the Laser Kiwi Flag in any official capacity?

May 5, 10:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5%chance

6378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

472

120

Will there be an attack on civilians in a NATO country committed primarily with a laser weapon with >19 casualties?

Oct 12, 3:57 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

25.72%chance

11253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

978

Is the era of hand-held laser weapons capable of burning holes through flesh in our future (i.e. before 2044)?

Oct 12, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.16%chance

10198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

225

141

Will the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter successfully range the Laser Retro-reflector Array on IM-1 Odysseus?

Feb 27, 11:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.8%chance

8190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

342

155

Will anyone successfully incorporate a light sail into the optical cavity of a laser before 2035?

Oct 10, 8:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.69%chance

482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

92

87

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