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Prediction markets for Last Stand
OptionProbability
79
10
10
OptionProbability
28
22
18
17
9
9
5
5
4
Congressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?
Mar 14, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
221911
OptionProbability
38
26
16
8
8
2
1
OptionVotes
1233
937
Will my friend Doodle get a girlfriend before GTA 6 Drops?
Feb 20, 2:46 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM
69.2%chance
51260
OptionVotes
150
67
Of the world's current highest ultra-wealthy, who will be the last standing?
Feb 24, 7:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
131257
OptionProbability
29
22
15
10
5
OptionProbability
37
22
22
11
5
2
1
0
OptionVotes
238
42
Will the Northeast Face of Mashenbrum be climed by end of 2032?
Sep 10, 4:48 AMSep 17, 6:59 AM
46.7%chance
270
OptionVotes
1068
936
Will "' petertodd'’s last stand: The final days of ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 13, 9:34 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.34%chance
15
OptionVotes
105
99
Will Dave Gahan be the last standing member of Depeche Mode?
Nov 24, 9:56 AMDec 1, 12:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50