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Launch Live News

At the end of the next 30 days, starting from today (June 7 2026), how many blocks will be broken on mysterybox.art ?

Jun 6, 5:54 AMJun 6, 7:59 PM

3235430

OptionProbability

10-99

100-999

Above 1000

0 - 9

54

26

12

8

By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

Mar 22, 5:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6533871

OptionProbability

15

14

13

4 (all flight #s are on or before)

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

79

62

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?

May 6, 3:39 PMJun 10, 3:29 PM

89%chance

5229094

OptionVotes

YES

NO

981

468

When will Starship reach orbit?

Apr 2, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

157263

OptionProbability

Jul-Dec 2026

2027

2028

Apr-Jun 2026

2029

2030

2031

2032+ or never

60

31

4

1

1

1

1

1

When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?

Mar 30, 2:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

305748

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

70

52

20

1

0

0

Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)

Jun 14, 2:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

394973

OptionProbability

Claude Saga

Claude Odyssey

Claude Ballad

Claude Epic

Claude Anthology

Claude Novel

Claude … Quest, or Goliath

Canon

Claude Requiem

Claude Chronicle

Claude Parable

Claude … the name of a real (animal species, or settlement, or geological feature)

Claude Legend

Claude Allegory

Shannon

Claude Lore

Claude Tale

Claude Myth

31

24

23

18

18

18

16

16

16

15

14

12

11

10

9

4

2

1

Will Polymarket launch its official token in 2026?

May 13, 3:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.89%chance

344778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7816

4544

Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):

Mar 12, 3:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

191671

OptionProbability

Unyielding Islamic Regime

Deal with minimal concessions

Deal with major concessions

Military coup (Artesh)

Popular takeover

Balkanization/long civil war

Venezuela-style puppet state

Voluntary transition of power

35

28

26

4

3

2

2

1

Confirmed overflight of US Military aircraft over Cuba in 2026

Jan 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.02%chance

131010

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

904

Will Winnie the Pooh try to conquer Taiwan?

Mar 27, 2:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.51%chance

13288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

How the living conditions in the venezuela be in the future?

Jan 16, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

315

OptionProbability

Better future

Worse future

Same Future

38

35

27

When will my app WalkYourTime reach the first 100 downloads?

Apr 7, 9:41 AMFeb 1, 9:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

Jan-Apr 2028

May-Aug 2028

Sep-Dec 2028

Jan-Apr 2029

May-Aug 2029

Sep-Dec 2029

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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