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Top stories

Tom Artiom Alexandrovich, Israeli Cybersecurity Chief, Flees US After Arrest for Child Sex Crime; Released on $10,000 Bail by US Attorney Sigal Chattah

Tom Artiom Alexandrovich, Israeli Cybersecurity Chief, Flees US After Arrest for Child Sex Crime; Released on $10,000 Bail by US Attorney Sigal Chattah

Authors

37

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Law of Return

2. Scaling laws will be discovered and exploited in areas beyond text—in particular, in robotics and biology.

Dec 27, 8:12 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

75.4%chance

152818

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1751

571

Trump vetoes Epstein files bill during second term?

Nov 16, 1:24 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

2.53%chance

282325

OptionVotes

YES

NO

621

16

Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?

Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.73%chance

371415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1694

505

When will Trump abolish U.S. expat taxes on overseas income?

Mar 8, 7:05 AMJan 31, 3:59 PM

7616

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2024

2025

49

13

13

11

7

7

My (@mayaofspring) current tenancy ends when?

Jul 30, 5:50 PMAug 1, 10:59 PM

5542

OptionProbability

Mar 2026

Feb 2026

Jan 2026

Apr 2026

May 2026

Dec 2025

Oct 2025

Nov 2025

Jun 2026

Jul 2026

29

23

15

8

8

5

3

3

3

2

Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?

Nov 23, 10:01 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM

11.23%chance

10217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

337

100

Will the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028

Sep 25, 9:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.23%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

94

Will Facebook users with de-personalized ads have better consumer outcomes?

Feb 24, 8:07 PMMar 4, 7:59 AM

45.93%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

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