Layer One News

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

19745815

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

14.92%chance

545400

OptionVotes

YES

2388

419

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

YES

1720

680

By 2028 will we be able to identify distinct submodules/algorithms within LLMs?

May 25, 8:26 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

79%chance

231893

OptionVotes

YES

1227

919

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.43%chance

11712

OptionVotes

YES

1414

776

Will OpenAI's primary consumer AI product still be branded 'ChatGPT' on December 31, 2033?

Jun 15, 2:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.28%chance

564

OptionVotes

YES

124

What will the MSRP of the Flipper One?

May 28, 4:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

454

OptionProbability

$400 – $499

$300 – $399

$200 – $299

$500 – $599

$600 – $699

$700 – $799

Below $199

Above $800

What % disease reduction will an epidemiological study of far-UVC air disinfection show?

Apr 2, 10:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32.17%chance

138

OptionProbability

YES

288

Compute ratio for SOTA model training workloads by hardware architecture by EOY 2028

Feb 18, 2:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

Custom ASIC

GPU/CPU

FPGA (Reprogrammable ASIC)

Which AI gave the best response to the White Lotus meme?

Mar 19, 10:01 AM

470

Layer One News

Prediction markets for Layer One

Prediction markets for Layer One

Prediction markets for Layer One

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

By 2028 will we be able to identify distinct submodules/algorithms within LLMs?

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

Will OpenAI's primary consumer AI product still be branded 'ChatGPT' on December 31, 2033?

What will the MSRP of the Flipper One?

What % disease reduction will an epidemiological study of far-UVC air disinfection show?

Compute ratio for SOTA model training workloads by hardware architecture by EOY 2028

Which AI gave the best response to the White Lotus meme?

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