OptionProbability
Other
At an EA (Effective Altruism) conference
LessWrong (LW) Meetup
Bay Area Taco Tuesday
Manifold Markets Manifest
Secular Solstice
66
7
6
End of 2027 Ashes
End of India’s Tour in 2029
2029/2030 Ashes
End 2025-26 Ashes
45
33
14
5
3
NO
YES
352
347
OptionVotes
114
88
224
181
105
78
100
