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Top stories

Wallen Extends Billboard Lead as ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Breaks U.K. Streaming Record

Wallen Extends Billboard Lead as ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Breaks U.K. Streaming Record

Authors

8

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Lead

If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?

Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

2058388

OptionProbability

Other

Matt Giacona

None— vacant thoughout end of term in Jan 20 2029

Trump not elected President

44

36

19

1

Best Lead Actress winner? (2026 Oscars)

Jan 22, 2:10 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

2318708

OptionProbability

Jessie Buckley - Hamnet

Rose Byrne - If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Kate Hudson - Song Sung Blue

Renate Reinsve - Sentimental Value

Emma Stone - Bugonia

86

7

2

2

2

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33%chance

6117628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

702

Best Lead Actor winner? (2026 Oscars)

Jan 22, 2:07 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

2816927

OptionProbability

Timothee Chalamet - Marty Supreme

Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle After Another

Michael B. Jordan - Sinners

Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent

Ethan Hawke - Blue Moon

73

12

7

4

4

The Lead Attorney Stock (Permanent)

Nov 16, 5:15 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

7915237

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1536

1450

Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?

Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.59%chance

10210820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3425

1696

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM

64.31%chance

524635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

695

Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:29 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

36.54%chance

213810

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1320

760

Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?

Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM

83.3%chance

213615

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2208

285

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.44%chance

213540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

971

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

83.17%chance

253024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2223

450

Will AI lead to a 3.5 day workweek by 2040?

Oct 7, 9:10 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

242152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

999

983

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