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Prediction markets for Lead
If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management?
Jul 3, 1:56 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
1654063
OptionProbability
58
41
1
OptionProbability
1536
1450
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
Nov 18, 12:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.98%chance
9810416
OptionVotes
3231
1787
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
72.65%chance
4110374
OptionVotes
1630
614
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
Feb 22, 12:32 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
65.8%chance
464001
OptionVotes
1386
672
Kamala Harris leading 2028 Democratic primary polls at end of 2025?
May 6, 10:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.66%chance
323146
OptionVotes
1098
911
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
79.26%chance
242639
OptionVotes
1955
512
Will Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:29 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
23.59%chance
162406
OptionVotes
1800
556
OptionVotes
1083
959
Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031?
Jun 27, 3:10 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
33%chance
261165
OptionVotes
1088
757
Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?
Apr 2, 1:28 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM
35.04%chance
23725
OptionVotes
1051
853
Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?
May 19, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
26.93%chance
12247
OptionVotes
1063
964