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Top stories

Japan Leading Index Drops to 105.6, Pointing to Softer Growth Ahead

Authors

4

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Leading Index

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3632789

OptionProbability

170-175

175-180

165-170

180-185

≥185

160-165

155-160

<155

32

30

12

11

7

5

2

1

What will be the best Remote Labor Index score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2418649

OptionProbability

20-30%

10-20%

30-40%

40-50%

<10%

50-60%

60-70%

70-80%

≥80%

26

20

16

10

7

7

6

5

4

USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased?

Feb 28, 3:14 AMJan 1, 3:01 AM

69%chance

171880

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

67

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in August?

May 16, 5:48 AMAug 4, 11:59 PM

51221

OptionProbability

No change

Increase

Decrease

70

22

8

Will the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?

May 8, 3:47 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13%chance

9380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?

May 16, 6:06 AMNov 3, 3:25 AM

2353

OptionProbability

No change

Increase

Decrease

80

16

4

Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027

Feb 9, 5:31 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

5255

OptionProbability

Moderately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%)

Significantly higher inflation (>3.0%)

Significantly lower inflation (<1.5%)

Moderately lower inflation (1.5%-1.9%)

Minimal impact on inflation (2% or no mention of AI in Fed comms)

37

20

15

14

14

Will fibromyalgia be shown to reflect one main condition rather than many?

Jan 20, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.78%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

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