OptionProbability
(JAP) Red flag during Qualyfing session
[BAH] Safety car during the race
[BAH] Yuki Tsunoda scores points
[BAH] Bearman scores points
[SAU] Safety Car during the race
[SAU] Tsunoda makes it into Q3
[SAU] Leclerc will get top 4 in the race
[MIA] Norris qualifies ahead of Piastri (main race qualifying)
[MIA] Non-Mclaren pole in Sprint Qualifying
[MIA] Piastri finishes ahead of Norris in GP
[MIA] Williams double points in the main GP
[MIA] Over 3.5 Drivers DNF in the main race
[MIA] Both McLaren on the podium
[IMO] Physical Safety Car during the race
[IMO] Max Verstappen Podium Finish
[IMO] Colapinto replaces Doohan in at least one session
[IMO] Piastri qualifies ahead of Norris
[IMO] Tsunoda scores point(s)
[MON] Red Flag during Qualifying
[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race
[MON] At least one impeding penalty during qualifying
[MON] 4+ pit stops in the first 5 laps
[MON] Norris scores more points than Piastri
[MON] Yellow flag on the 1st lap of the race
[MON] Both Ferraris finish in top 5
[SPA] Both Ferraris reach Q3
[SPA] McLaren Pole Position
[SPA] McLaren 1-2 (race)
[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[CAN] Red Flag during Qualifying
[CAN] Stroll starts the race
[CAN] Impeding penalty during Qualifying (at least 1)
[CAN] Mercedes Podium
[CAN] Hulkenberg finishes in top 10
[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AUT] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AUT] Yellow flag first lap
[AUT] Bortoleto reaches Q3
[AUT] McLaren 1-2
[AUT] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AUT] Bortoleto finishes top 10
[GBR] Yellow Flag first lap
[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race
[GBR] McLaren 1-2 (race)
[GBR] Non-McLaren pole position
[GBR] VSR virtual safety car during the race.
[GBR] Gasly finishes in top 10
[BEL] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[BEL] McLaren double podium (main race)
[BEL] Intermediate or wet weather tyres needed for the main race
[BEL] A Ferrari driver doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)
[BEL] Bortoleto reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[BEL] Leclerc podium (main race)
[BEL] Bortoleto in the top 10 (main race)
[BEL] Hamilton top 10 (main race)
[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race
[HUN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the race
[HUN] Antonelli finishes in the points
[HUN] Bortoleto finishes in the points
[HUN] Both Aston Martins score points
[HUN] Leclerc is in first position at the end of lap 1
[NLD] Physical Safety Car during the race
[NLD] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[NLD] Verstappen on the podium
[NLD] Tsunoda finishes in top 10
[ITA] New track record Set in Qualifying
[ITA] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[ITA] Non-McLaren pole position
[ITA] Hamilton finishes in top 6
[AZE] Physical Safety Car during the race
[AZE] Red flag during qualifying
[AZE] Yellow flag First Lap main race
[AZE] Norris and or Piastri Fail to finish due to an accident
[AZE] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[AZE] Non-McLaren pole position
[AZE] Mercedes on the podium (at least 1 driver)
[SGP] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[SGP] Bearman finishes in top 10 (race)
[COTA] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
[COTA] Physical Safety Car or Virtual Safety Car during the main race
[COTA] Verstappen wins the sprint race
[COTA] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (main race)
[COTA] Leclerc finishes on the podium (main race)
[COTA] Bearman finishes in top 10 (main race)
[COTA] Hulkenberg finishes on top 10 (main race)
[MEX] all 3 tyre compounds used in main race
[MEX] Bearman finishes in top 10 (race)
[MEX] At least one Ferrari on the podium
[MEX] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[MEX] Max finishes 3rd
[BRA] Physical Safety Car during the main race
[BRA] yellow flag first lap (main race)
[BRA] The same driver wins the Sprint and the GP
[BRA] McLaren pole in the SPRINT qualifying
[BRA] Antonelli Sprint podium
[BRA] Verstappen finishes the main race in the top 6
[BRA] Antonelli podium in the main race
[BRA] Both Racing Bulls finish in top 10 in the main race
[LAS]Verstappen finishes ahead of both McLarens
[LAS] Yellow flag first lap
[LAS] All 3 tyre compounds used in main race
[LAS] Sainz finishes in top 5 (race)
[LAS] Hulkenberg finishes in top 10 (race)
[QAT] Verstappen scores more points than Norris during the whole weekend
[QAT] Alonso scores points in the sprint race
[QAT] Alonso in top 10 (main race)
[ABU] Physical Safety Car during the race
[ABU] A Ferrari doesn't reach Q3
[ABU] All 3 tyre compounds used in main race
[ABU] A driver not in WDC contention podiums
Leave it open for upcoming GP
[ABU] Yellow flag first lap
[MIA] Safety car in the main race
[ABU] Red flag during qualifying
[ABU] Three different teams on the podium
[ABU] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[ABU] NON-McLaren pole position
[ABU] Verstappen, Piastri or Norris is involved in a collision causing him to DNF (engine, power unit problems etc. do not count)
[ABU] A driver not in WDC contention wins the race
[BEL] Yellow flag first lap (main race)
(JAP) Safety car during the race
(JAP) A rookie crashes and cannot finish the race (technical problems at the gearbox, power unit etc. won't count, it needs to be a crash)
(JAP) Yuki Tsunoda scores points
[JAP] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda
[BAH] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda
[BAH] Ferrari on the podium (at least 1 driver)
[SAU] Mercedes podium (at least 1 driver)
[SAU] McLaren double podium
[SAU] Bearman scores points
[MIA] 🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli wins the sprint race
[MIA] 🟥 Red flag during main race qualifying
[MIA] Antonelli on the Podium
[IMO] Piastri scores more points than Norris
[IMO] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)
[IMO] Aston Martin both drivers score points
[MON] Physical Safety Car during the race
[MON] Both Mercedes score points (i.e. top 10)
[SPA] Virtual Safety Car during the race
[SPA] Yellow flag first lap
[SPA] Tsunoda goes into Q3
[SPA] Sauber reaches Q3 (at least one driver)
[SPA] someone receives a penalty for obstructing during qualifying
[SPA] Tsunoda finishes in top 10 (race)
[SPA] Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc (race)
[SPA] Bortoleto finishes in top 10 (race)
[CAN] Yellow flag first lap
[CAN] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[CAN] Both Williams reach Q3
[CAN] Williams scores over 5.5 WCC points
[AUT] 3 different teams on the podium
[AUT] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[AUT] Stroll reaches Q3
[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[AUT] Williams scores points (at least one driver)
[AUT] Verstappen penalty for forcing another driver off the track or a collision.
[GBR] Both HAAS cars finish in the points (top 10)
[GBR] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[GBR] Williams reaches Q3 (at least 1 driver)
[GBR] At least one Ferrari on the podium
[GBR] Bearman finishes in top 10
[GBR] At least one Mercedes on the podium
[BEL] Two or more cars DNF (main race)
[BEL] Ferrari in top 3 in the Sprint Qualifying (at least 1 driver)
[BEL] McLaren 1-2 in the Sprint race
[BEL] Verstappen gets a penalty in either the sprint or main race
[BEL] Leclerc on the podium in the sprint race
[BEL] Red flag during qualifying (for the main race)
[BEL] main race is cancelled/aborted
[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race
[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)
[HUN] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[HUN] Yellow flag first lap
[HUN] At least two drivers DNF
[NLD] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)
[NLD] Exactly 18 cars finish the race
Hamilton finishes in top 7
[NLD] Yellow flag first lap
[NLD] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the main race
[NLD] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[NLD] Antonelli reaches Q3
[NLD] Both Williams reach Q3
[NLD] Red flag during qualifying
[ITA] Physical Safety during the race
[ITA] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least one)
[ITA] Yellow flag first lap
[ITA] Wet or intermediate tyres needed in Race
[ITA] Both Williams reach Q3
[ITA] Ferrari on the podium (at least one driver)
[AZE] New lap record in Qualifying
[AZE] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton
[AZE] 3 or more DNF (race)
[AZE] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the race.
[SGP] Physical Safety Car during the race
[SGP] Red flag during qualifying
[SGP] Yellow flag first lap
[SGP] 1 or more teams loses both cars in the race
[SGP] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the main race
[SGP] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)
[SGP] Tsunoda reaches Q3
[SGP] Antonelli on the podium
[SGP] Kick Sauber scores points
[COTA] McLaren pole position in the SPRINT qualifying
[COTA] Hulkenberg top 5 in the sprint race
[COTA] Tsunoda reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)
[COTA] McLaren pole position in the main race qualifying
[COTA] A Ferrari doesn't reach Q3 in the main race qualifying
[COTA] Impeding penalty (at least 1) during main race qualifying
[COTA] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda (main race)
[COTA] Antonelli finishes in top 5 (main race)
[COTA] 6 or more drivers fail to finish the main race
[MEX] Physical Safety Car during the race
[MEX] Red Flag during qualifying
[MEX] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[MEX] Max wins and Oscar finishes 3rd or lower
[MEX] Yuki is send slightly airborne by someone colliding with his right rear tire
[MEX] Yellow flag first lap main race
[MEX] George Russell podium
[MEX] Verstappen takes pole
[MEX] Piastri finishes ahead of Verstappen
[MEX] Red Flag during the Race
[BRA] main race podium is both McLarens and Max in any order
[BRA] a driver from neither McLaren, RBR, Ferrari or Mercedes gets a podium in the main race
[BRA] all three WDC contenders take a part replacement penalty
[BRA] Bortoleto finishes the main race in the points
[BRA] Max finishes the main race ahead of both McLarens
[BRA] Wet or intermediate tyres used in the main race
[BRA] Red flag during qualifying (for the main race)
[BRA] impeding penalty during qualifying (for the main race)
[BRA] McLaren 1-2 in the SPRINT Race
[BRA] Leclerc podium in the main race
[BRA] Alonso finishes in top 10 in the main race
[LAS] Red flag during qualifying
[LAS] Physical safety car during the race
[LAS] Impeding penalty during qualifying
[LAS] Piastri finishes ahead of Norris
[LAS] A Ferrari qualifies in top 4
[LAS] One or more double-DNF (main race)
[LAS] McLaren double podium
[QAT] Verstappen scores 17 points more than Norris over whole weekend
[QAT] Exactly two cars DNF the GP
[QAT] Lando Norris wins WDC
[QAT] Verstappen and Norris make contact in the sprint or main race
[QAT] yellow flag first lap
[QAT] driver disqualified after the main race
[QAT] The same driver wins the Sprint and the main race
[QAT] Tsunoda reaches Q3 of main race qualifying
[QAT] McLaren 1-2 in the sprint race
[QAT] Red flag during main race to clear gravel (no stranded car or significant car parts)
[QAT] Both McLarens touch and at least one of them DNFs because of it
[QAT] Mercedes on the podium (main race)
[QAT] Both Racing Bulls in top 10 (main race)
[QAT] Both Ferraris outside of top 10 (main race)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
81
69
66
54
53
53
41
41
35
30
29
20
10
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Verstappen - Lawson
Russel - Antonelli
Hülkenberg - Bortoleto
Norris - Leclerc
Piastri - Russel
Verstappen - Hamilton
Leclerc - Hamilton
Verstappen - Leclerc
Verstappen - Russel
Russel - Leclerc
Alonso - Stroll
Norris - Piastri
Norris - Verstappen
Piastri - Verstappen
Hamilton - Antonelli
Sainz - Albon
Ocon - Bearman
Tsunoda - Hadjar
Lawson - Antonelli
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
96
85
78
40
14
12
12
4
0
OptionProbability
Lando Norris (McLaren)
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
Yuki Tsunoda (Previously Liam Lawson) (Red Bull)
George Russel (Mercedes)
Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)
Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)
Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
Jack Doohan (Alpine)
Alexander Albon (Williams)
Carlos Sainz Jr. (Williams)
Liam Lawson (Previously Yuki Tsunoda) (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)
Isack Hadjar (Visa Cash App Racing Bulls)
Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber/Stake)
Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber/Stake)
Esteban Ocon (Haas)
Ollie Bearman (Haas)
74
21
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
4/6 (Suzuka - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
4/20 (Jeddah) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
10/05 (Singapore) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
11/22 (Las Vegas) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
11/30 (Lusail) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Antonelli?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Sainz?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Albon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Ocon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Tsunoda?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hadjar?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Bortoleto?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Doohan?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Lawson?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hulkenberg?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Alonso?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Stroll?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Bearman?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Antonelli?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Russell?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Sainz?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Albon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Ocon?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Tsunoda?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hadjar?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Bortoleto?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Doohan?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Lawson?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hulkenberg?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Alonso?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Gasly?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Stroll?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Bearman?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hadjar?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Russell?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Russell?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Hamilton?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Hamilton?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Hamilton?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Albon?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Albon?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Albon?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Albon?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Antonelli?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Tsunoda?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Sainz?
11/30 (Lusail) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hadjar?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Hadjar OUT FINISH Russell?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Hamilton?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Russell?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Russell?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Antonelli?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
10/05 (Singapore) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
10/05 (Singapore) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Antonelli?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Russell?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Russell?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Russell?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
11/09 (Sao Paulo) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH LeClerc?
11/22 (Las Vegas) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
11/30 (Lusail) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
12/7 (Yas Marina) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
12/7 (Yas Marina) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Russell?
12/7 (Yas Marina) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Russell?
12/7 (Yas Marina) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
12/7 (Yas Marina) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
12/7 (Yas Marina) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
3/16 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
3/23 (Shanghai) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
4/13 (Sakhir - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
7/6 (Silverstone) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
10/26 (Mexico City) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
11/09 (Sao Paulo) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
5/4 (Miami) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Ocon OUT FINISH Norris?
5/18 (Imola) - Will Stroll OUT FINISH Norris?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Hadjar?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Ocon?
5/25 (Monaco) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Lawson?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/1 (Barcelona) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
6/15 (Montreal) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Lawson OUT FINISH Russell?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Russell?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Ocon?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Gasly OUT FINISH Russell?
6/29 (Spielberg) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Gasly?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Russell?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Albon OUT FINISH Leclerc?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris?
07/27 (Spa) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Norris?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Russell?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Leclerc?
08/3 (Budapest) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Norris?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Russell?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Russell?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Tsunoda OUT FINISH Antonelli?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Tsunoda OUT FINISH Sainz?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Antonelli?
08/03 (Budapest) - Will Sainz OUT FINISH Hulkenberg?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
10/26 (Mexico City) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
10/05 (Singapore) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
11/22 (Las Vegas) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
11/09 (Sao Paulo) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Piastri?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Stroll?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Alonso OUT FINISH Stroll?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Gasly OUT FINISH Lawson?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Gasly OUT FINISH Lawson?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Hadjar OUT FINISH Piastri?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
08/31 (Zabdvoort) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Verstappen?
09/07 (Monza) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Russell?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Norris?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Norris?
09/21 (Baku) - Will Leclerc OUT FINISH Norris?
10/05 (Singapore) - Will Antonelli OUT FINISH Norris?
10/19 (COTA) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Verstappen?
11/09 (Sao Paulo) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Verstappen?
11/09 (Sao Paulo) - Will Hadjar OUT FINISH Russell?
11/30 (Lusail) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
11/30 (Lusail) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Verstappen?
11/30 (Lusail) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Norris?
% 11/30 (Lusail) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
72
69
63
59
48
30
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Lando Norris
Max Verstappen
Oscar Piastri
Sergio Perez
Lewis Hamilton
Charles Leclerc
Carlos Sainz
George Russell
Alex Albon
Fernando Alonso
No trophy awarded in 2025
Yuki Tsunoda
Other
71
24
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Pierre Gasly
Oliver Bearman
Lando Norris
Alex Albon
Fernando Alonso
Estaban Ocon
Valtteri Bottas
Max Verstappen
Sergio Perez
Oscar Piastri
Charles Leclerc
George Russell
Franco Alejandro Colapinto
Nico Hulkenberg
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Isack Hadjar
Arvid Lindblad
Lance Stroll
Carlos Sainz
Gabriel Bortoleto
Liam Lawson
Lewis Hamilton
Yuki Tsunoda
Daniel Riccardo
Zhou Guanyu
Jack Doohan
Kevin Magnussen
99
99
98
98
98
98
98
97
97
97
97
96
96
95
95
95
95
94
94
92
88
81
13
7
5
4
2
OptionVotes
YES
NO
9950
101
OptionProbability
Lando Norris
Oscar Piastri
George Russell
Gabriel Bortoleto
Other
Charles Leclerc
Carlos Sainz Jr.
Kimi Antonelli
Alex Albon
Yuki Tsunoda
Esteban Ocon
Pierre Gasly
77
17
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Will Verstappen outscore Lawson
Will Leclerc outscore Hamilton
Will Russel outscore Antonelli
Will Gasly outscore Doohan
Will Hulkenberg outscore Bortoleto
Will Gasly outscore Colapinto
Will Norris outscore Piastri
Will Alonso outscore Stroll
Will Bearman outscore Ocon
Will Sainz outscore Albon
Will Lawson outscore Adjar
Will Tsunoda outscore Hadjar
99
99
99
99
99
99
94
90
89
85
5
4
OptionProbability
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Norris?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Hamilton OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Verstappen OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Antonelli?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Leclerc?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Russell OUT FINISH Piastri?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Norris OUT FINISH Hamilton?
2026/03/08 (Melbourne) - Will Piastri OUT FINISH Hamilton?
60
60
60
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
40
40
OptionVotes
YES
NO
361
28
OptionProbability
Richelieu
Other
Jeanne d'Arc
François Mitterand
Simone Veil
Leclerc
Darlan
28
25
15
10
9
7
5
