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Prediction markets for Ledger Security

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2028?

Mar 22, 9:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.95%chance

508112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1085

924

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?

Mar 24, 9:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.31%chance

352329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

701

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

4.83%chance

141932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1691

930

When will a cyberattack cause a major U.S. bank or brokerage to lose its records of customer assets?

Aug 11, 1:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7159

OptionProbability

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2031

Before 2028

Before 2027

58

57

56

55

55

50

47

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM

30.88%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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