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Prediction markets for Legislative Assembly

Will a province or territory of Canada express an intent to join, or attempt to join the US before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:37 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

5.84%chance

305168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4017

249

PM Modi (BJP) wins Bihar election?

Aug 4, 6:16 PMAug 4, 6:16 PM

50.57%chance

33749

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

May 25, 12:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.87%chance

8731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

39

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1403

713

Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?

Feb 14, 2:58 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

13.23%chance

20434

OptionVotes

YES

NO

279

48

California AB 609 passes?

Apr 28, 3:11 PMDec 31, 4:09 PM

72.99%chance

464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

California SB 543 Passes?

Jun 24, 3:10 PMDec 31, 4:09 PM

59.18%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Tamil Nadu 2026 Elections - Will DMK-led Alliance retain its majority?

Apr 4, 8:39 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

40.16%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner

Jul 6, 4:59 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

213

OptionProbability

Liberal-National

Labor

53

47

California AB 1154 Passes?

Jun 9, 6:31 PMDec 31, 7:31 PM

50%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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