Legislature News

NO

Has become law

Approved by the legislature but has not become law

None. This argument is sound and Eliezer will be compelled to look at Krantz's work.

17. 5, 12, 14, 15 and 16 imply that if your goal is to prevent the scaling of dangerous AI, then you should review the work of Krantz.

18. If AI safety orgs understood there was an effective function that converts capital into public awareness of existential risk from AI, then they would supply that function with capital.

19. 17 and 18 imply that Eliezer Yudkowsky and other safety organizations should review the Krantz system to help prevent doom.

8. People learn the things that they have obvious incentives to learn.

11. If individuals can see that they will earn a substantial cash reward for demonstrating they understand something, they will be incentivized to demonstrate they understand it.

7. People only understand the things they have learned.

1. If AI develops the capability to control the environment better than humans, then humanity is doomed.

6. If every person on the planet understood the alignment problem as well as Eliezer Yudkowsky, then we would not scale AI to the point where it can control the environment better than humans.

12. 10 and 11 imply that it is possible to incentivize people to understand the alignment problem.

14. 9 and 13 imply that if we sufficiently incentivize the understanding of the alignment problem, then people would take action to prevent dangerous AI scaling.

15. If your goal is to prevent the scaling of dangerous AI, then you should be working on building mechanisms that incentivize awareness of the issue. (from 14)

16. Krantz's work is aimed at building a mechanism that incentivizes the demonstration of knowledge.

2. If we continue to scale AI capabilities, then it will eventually be able to control the environment better than humans.

3. 1 and 2 imply that if we continue to scale AI capabilities, then humanity is doomed.

4. We should not be doomed.

5. 3 and 4 imply that we should stop scaling AI.

9. 6, 7, and 8 imply that if people had sufficient and obvious incentives to understand the alignment problem, then we would not scale AI to the point where it can control the environment better than humans.

10. It is possible to build a machine that pays individuals for demonstrating they’ve understood something.

YES

Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11

Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State

Be a man (cis or trans)

Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)

Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature

Be considered broadly left-wing in their country

Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent

Have been married

Have been in custody

Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area

Rule an African country

Rule a country with same-sex marriage

Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation

Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime

Come to power as the result of a coup

Be out as LGBTQIA+

Party lists [currently in use]

Single winner FPTP districts [currently in use]

Proportional balancing seats [currently in use]

Some form of parallel voting (where multiple electoral systems are used independent of each other) [currently in use]

Closed lists [currently in use]

FPTP voting for presidential elections [currently in use]

All the same components of the current system (i.e. no electoral change is passed)

Non-party list multi-winner districts

Single non transferable vote (1 vote per multiple seats)

Open lists

A rule prohibiting (or attempting to prohibit) parties from creating satellite parties

Any form of ranked voting used to elect the legislature or president

An increase in the portion of PR balancing seats prior to February 2019 or an increase in the maximum potential portion of balancing seats if a system is used where the number of balancing seats is allowed to vary

An increase in the portion of seats elected in parallel using party list PR prior to February 2019

Any non FPTP voting system for presidential elections

Any system with proportional balancing seats where the balancing seats are tied to the vote totals from the non proportional seats (ex. the mixed single vote system used in the 2019 Thailand election)

A runoff for presidential elections

A rated voting method (ex. approval voting) presidential elections

Any form of runoff used to elect the legislature or president

Single transferable vote (a form of ranked voting)

A ranked voting method (ex. instant runoff voting) for presidential elections

Any form of rated voting used to elect the legislature or president

NO

NO

NO

YES

YES

NO