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Prediction markets for Lego

Will Lego announce the release of another Vincent van Gogh set by Jan 1, 2027?

Jul 13, 9:12 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.33%chance

89854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2043

489

Will there be an official Lego model of the Cybertruck before 2035?

Aug 25, 2:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

8%chance

393762

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2412

507

Will Lego release a record breaking Largest Set (by number of pieces) before EOY 2027?

Jan 9, 11:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.31%chance

6855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

475

60

In what year will Lego IPO?

Aug 9, 6:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6529

OptionProbability

2032 - 2036

2037 - 2041

2042 - 2047

2027 - 2031

After 2047

Before 2027

24

24

24

16

10

3

Will Lego still be the most valuable toy company in the world on Lego Day 2028? (Jan 28)

Dec 1, 10:39 PMJan 29, 4:59 AM

90.11%chance

10463

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1441

920

Will Lego sell Virtual Reality construction sets by the end of 2030?

Apr 19, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.32%chance

18269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

992

When will a robot zero-shot assemble a 100+ piece Lego set?

Jan 9, 10:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12218

OptionProbability

Later

2027

2026

2025

2024

34

26

17

15

8

Will there be an official Lego model of a Tesla sold before 2029?

Sep 26, 4:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.43%chance

9190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

Conditional on there being a third movie in the Lego Movie series by 2030, will any of the songs mention a dead father?

Aug 27, 5:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34%chance

11177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

967

Will Lego's new carbon-neutral factory in Virginia open by the end of 2026?

Jan 2, 6:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.18%chance

386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Will Lego operate three factories in the Americas at the end of 2029?

Jul 28, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Will Lego release a set with more pieces than Sagrada Familia by the end of 2028?

Jun 8, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.56%chance

546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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