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Prediction markets for LEO

Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?

May 6, 3:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12876192

OptionProbability

Other

Pierbattista Pizzaballa

Luis Antonio Tagle

Lazarus You Heung-sik

Pietro Parolin

José Tolentino de Mendonça

No one

Giorgio Marengo

Robert Prevost

Francis Leo

Paulo Cezar Costa

Américo Aguiar

Donald Trump

François-Xavier Bustillo

88

5

3

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Pope Leo XIV openly criticize Trump in 2025?

May 8, 6:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.05%chance

22335555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1526

655

Will Leo Messi ever play for FC Barcelona again?

Jan 4, 10:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.95%chance

4214558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2527

709

Pope Leo XIV on Joe Rogan's podcast in 2025?

May 11, 12:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.55%chance

309633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7967

126

Will Cristiano Ronaldo or Leo Messi play at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Oct 18, 9:41 AMJul 31, 9:59 PM

83.13%chance

748600

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2126

285

Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?

Nov 17, 1:04 AMJan 6, 5:59 AM

38.47%chance

285685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

781

Will Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?

May 20, 6:53 PMDec 31, 7:52 PM

40.87%chance

152391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

831

Will there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2035?

May 1, 9:11 AMDec 31, 10:00 PM

11.43%chance

192290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1159

953

Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?

May 22, 12:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.02%chance

152085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2208

453

Will SpaceX be the cheapest ($ / kg) commercial provider to LEO on 2035-01-01

Nov 29, 10:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.21%chance

3485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1472

809

Will Orion dock with Starship in LEO before 2028?

Apr 19, 4:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

13293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

923

Will there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2063?

May 28, 3:20 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM

67.72%chance

13234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

953

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