LESTER News

What will happen first

Oct 17, 10:01 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

333770

OptionProbability

A nuke (of any size) will be detonated above ground in a test orchestrated by humans.

A nuclear missile is decommissioned in order for its fissile material to be used to power a nuclear power plant that provides power to an AI datacenter.

A nuke (of any size) will be detonated in a conflict or as an act of terror by humans.

An AI accident or malevolent act causes a nuke to detonate.

If Kamala Harris is elected President, will the term "bitch" in google trends exceed its recorded high from July 2015?

Nov 3, 3:24 AMJan 20, 5:59 AM

38.28%chance

232367

OptionVotes

YES

1270

787

Will Marriages/Civil Unions with 3+ people be legally recognized in five or more states by January 1st 2029?

Oct 19, 1:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.75%chance

151654

OptionVotes

YES

2268

722

Which of these NCAA Conferences will have the most football teams on Jan. 1st 2027?

Oct 19, 1:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

381589

OptionProbability

Big Ten Conference:

Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC)

Southeastern Conference (SEC)

Big 12 Conference: 12

Conference USA (C-USA

Sun Belt Conference:

Independents: 7

Mountain West Conference (MWC): 12

Pac-12 Conference

Will Elon and AOC have a confirmed child before 1/20/2032?

Feb 24, 3:35 AMJan 21, 5:59 AM

1.21%chance

91433

OptionVotes

YES

905

Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?

Jan 25, 4:37 PMJan 20, 5:59 AM

61231

OptionProbability

Other

Korea

UAE

Germany

France

India

When will humans intentionally destroy an AI data center first?

May 29, 12:34 AMMay 29, 12:32 AM

4888

OptionProbability

2029-2030

2033-2035

2031-2032

2027-2028

2025-2026

Will Tua Tagovailoa play more career games than Andrew Luck?

Oct 27, 7:51 PMNov 28, 5:59 AM

74.78%chance

15768

OptionVotes

YES

716

467

What will happen first in a U.S. Presidential election.

Jan 29, 2:56 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

12496

OptionProbability

Texas will vote Democrat.

Other

California will vote Republican.

The Election will be canceled in favor of some other form of government being established.

Will Quinn Ewers defeat Arch Manning's NFL team in a conference championship or Super Bowl?

Sep 15, 2:34 AMMar 16, 4:59 AM

35.43%chance

2370

OptionVotes

YES

1350

741

Will solar farms become thunderstorm and tornado incubators and MAGNETS?

Dec 23, 12:31 AMDec 30, 5:59 AM

15%chance

194

OptionVotes

YES

164

LESTER News

Prediction markets for LESTER

Prediction markets for LESTER

Prediction markets for LESTER

What will happen first

If Kamala Harris is elected President, will the term "bitch" in google trends exceed its recorded high from July 2015?

Will Marriages/Civil Unions with 3+ people be legally recognized in five or more states by January 1st 2029?

Which of these NCAA Conferences will have the most football teams on Jan. 1st 2027?

Will Elon and AOC have a confirmed child before 1/20/2032?

Which of these "countries" will become a U.S. State first?

When will humans intentionally destroy an AI data center first?

Will Tua Tagovailoa play more career games than Andrew Luck?

What will happen first in a U.S. Presidential election.

Will Quinn Ewers defeat Arch Manning's NFL team in a conference championship or Super Bowl?

Will solar farms become thunderstorm and tornado incubators and MAGNETS?

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