OptionVotes
NO
YES
1034
911
2526
699
3000
333
OptionProbability
Better, cheaper GLP-1 weight-loss drugs are coming, and in pill form, too.
With rich countries living beyond their means, the risk of a bond-market crisis is growing.
Geothermal energy is worth watching.
Conflicts will grind on in Ukraine, Sudan and Myanmar.
Russia and China will test America’s commitment to its allies with “grey-zone” provocations in northern Europe and the South China Sea.
Peace in Gaza will hold.
97
93
88
85
30
19
141
71
260
25
First public listing occurs, but no qualifying acquisition announced in the window
Qualifying Salesforce acquisition announced
Neither OpenAI nor Anthropic publicly listed by December 31, 2028
92
4
282
90
A new, non-acronym name
BRICS
An acronym of all the member states' names
54
36
10