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Prediction markets for Lex

Lex Fridman Stock

Oct 30, 9:42 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

1342294819

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2839

1466

But seriously, is @LexFridman the real Lex Fridman?

Jun 8, 5:31 PMMay 24, 3:59 AM

97.35%chance

4467529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1807

711

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.46%chance

14535624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2977

1215

Will Lex Friedman host a podcast from space before the end of 2027?

Jan 16, 11:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.56%chance

6714668

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5208

192

Will Lex Fridman interview Putin before the Ukraine-Russia war ends?

Jan 30, 3:32 AMFeb 6, 4:59 AM

10.07%chance

656482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1912

810

Will Lex Fridman report experiencing psychological issues since taking Ayahuasca?

Jan 4, 10:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.49%chance

141097

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1828

736

Will Lex Fridman interview the next US President by 2029?

Jul 21, 12:34 AMJan 2, 7:20 AM

80.23%chance

13605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

301

43

If Assad survives will Lex Fridman have him on the podcast by the end of 2026?

Dec 8, 6:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.25%chance

20505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

44

Will Lex Fridman have a family by EOY 2027?

Dec 23, 1:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.13%chance

9156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

97

Will Parmita Mishra (@prmshra) end up dating @basedbeffjezos, @bayeslord, @adammaj, or lex fridman?

Apr 6, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.5%chance

5135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

191

127

Will any Manifold founder or FTE be on Lex Fridman podcast by 2030?

Oct 10, 2:09 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

18.2%chance

456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

24

Will Parmita Mishra be interviewed by Lex Fridman OR Dwarkesh Patel by EOY 2030?

Jun 30, 10:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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