OptionProbability
Before 2050
Before 2045
Before 2040
Before 2035
Before 2032
Before 2030
Before 2028
The government is not going to fall. It may transform in the future, but Libyan style collapse is not expected.
Before 2027
71
64
61
58
56
55
52
45
15
Before 2100
Before 2070
Before 2080
Before 2090
Before 2060
66
50
41
23
6
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