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Prediction markets for Lift

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Mar 8, 5:52 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

77.58%chance

154659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1860

538

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

281570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1526

837

Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Jan 15, 1:41 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

22.34%chance

281329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1316

867

Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?

Jun 15, 1:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.29%chance

161093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

755

Will the sanctions on Russia be largely lifted before 2031?

Jun 30, 9:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

54.92%chance

16911

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

906

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

63.69%chance

21777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

533

Will Venezuelans be better off at end of 2026, conditional on sanctions NOT being lifted?

Jan 6, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.83%chance

9763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1430

699

DARPA Lift challenge participants achieve over 4X lift ratio?

Nov 14, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.82%chance

3423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1399

715

Will a laser lift a payload to space before 2045?

Dec 19, 1:42 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

47.15%chance

7398

OptionVotes

NO

YES

180

143

Will the DARPA Lift challenge have qualifying participants with a lift ratio of over 2X?

Nov 14, 10:35 PMDec 31, 10:22 PM

37.48%chance

3327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1292

774

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Aug 7, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.77%chance

11305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

178

Will the USA lift the embargo on Cuba by Jan 1st 2032?

Dec 6, 6:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.22%chance

13158

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

927

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