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Prediction markets for Lift

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Mar 8, 5:52 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

82.23%chance

185259

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2151

465

Will a vacuum lift technology be discovered or invented before 2040?

Jun 28, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

281570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1526

837

How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM

211413

OptionProbability

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a week, less than a month

More than a month, less than a year

More than a day, less than a week

More than a decade

36

24

19

14

3

3

Will Venezuelans be better off at end of 2026, conditional on sanctions NOT being lifted?

Jan 6, 7:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.79%chance

121390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1952

512

Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?

Jun 15, 1:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.51%chance

181355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1545

647

Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Jan 15, 1:41 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

22.34%chance

281329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1316

867

Will the sanctions on Russia be largely lifted before 2031?

Jun 30, 9:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

54.92%chance

16911

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

906

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

58.87%chance

22827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

454

Will China have lifted its April 2025 heavy rare earth export licensing (globally or for the US) as of Dec 31, 2026?

Sep 23, 1:13 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

9.75%chance

5482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

997

Will the USA lift the embargo on Cuba by Jan 1st 2032?

Dec 6, 6:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.17%chance

17340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

928

Will humans land on Mars and lift off from its surface to an altitude of at least 10 km by 2041?

Aug 7, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.77%chance

11305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

178

USA lifts Cuba embargo before Trump leaves office?

Oct 5, 5:38 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

29.85%chance

8123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

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