Likeness News

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Jul 2, 9:32 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

670149728

OptionProbability

Ukraine ceding more than Crimea to Russia

No cease-fire of 6 months

Pre-2014: Crimea controlled by Ukraine

No Ukraine anymore

No Russia anymore

Pre-2022: Crimea controlled by Russia but not more

Do you like 95% odds?

Jan 31, 9:27 PMFeb 7, 8:04 PM

95%chance

11460132

OptionVotes

YES

10000

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

61.74%chance

18440175

OptionVotes

YES

10901

9361

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Jun 17, 4:16 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

1925293

OptionProbability

It will have a new character (not just a revision or morph)

Jorbs will play it on twitch live in the first week of release

In mid 2026 there will be more concurrent players on StS 2 than on StS 1

It will have four playable characters on release

There will be some game mechanic like ascension levels but they will go higher or take more steps than sts1's ascension 20

The final boss will be the heart (or some obvious natural evolution of that character)

All current cards for at least one character will be playable

It will be released first in 2024

It will be released first in 2025

Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?

Jan 14, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

7316447

OptionVotes

YES

988

985

Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?

May 8, 8:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.03%chance

4914598

OptionVotes

YES

2832

661

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5312290

OptionVotes

YES

19219

7438

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Nov 17, 2:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

20.22%chance

3511669

OptionVotes

YES

19862

5039

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Jan 8, 2:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

216394

OptionProbability

Never or after 1/1/2030

1/1/2026-12/31/2026

1/1/2029-12/31/2029

1/1/2027-12/31/2027

1/1/2028-12/31/2028

Before 2026

Do you like 5% odds?

Jan 30, 9:39 PMFeb 6, 8:04 PM

5.12%chance

405245

OptionVotes

YES

10012

9770

During the Super Bowl, will Trump whine about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch?

Feb 3, 9:47 PMFeb 8, 11:59 PM

75.35%chance

643296

OptionVotes

YES

1748

572

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

May 27, 7:03 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

OptionProbability

Gage & Tollner

Dhamaka

Theodora

Atoboy

Tadhana

Semma

Dirt Candy

Rezdora

Crown Shy

Atera

Farra

Zou Zou

Likeness News

Prediction markets for Likeness

Prediction markets for Likeness

Prediction markets for Likeness

How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?

Do you like 95% odds?

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Will there be a major paradigm shift in physics, like Newtonian to Modern Physics, by the end of 2040?

Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?

Date first peer reviewed manuscript in Cell, Nature, or Science concludes SARS2 lab origin more likely than not (Set)

Do you like 5% odds?

During the Super Bowl, will Trump whine about Bad Bunny like a pathetic little bitch?

What restaurants in NYC will I like if I go to them? [ADD RESPONSES]

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