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Prediction markets for Limit

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.83%chance

18878430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

873

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Apr 17, 3:47 PMDec 17, 9:59 PM

23.16%chance

11913886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1901

1066

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.18%chance

710104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20076

7889

Will limit order UI be understandable by mid 2026?

Jan 5, 9:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

22.14%chance

192465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

533

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.78%chance

182110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10777

9293

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

Nov 14, 12:10 AMNov 8, 7:59 AM

25.53%chance

171914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

586

Will technical limitations or safeguards significantly restrict public access to smarter-than-almost-all-humans AGI?

Jun 10, 7:27 PMJun 11, 3:59 AM

40.38%chance

131556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

823

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Nov 23, 1:47 AMJan 2, 1:46 AM

31.21%chance

7800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1485

674

Will there be new federal regulations in the US limiting employers' access to employee computer activity data by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:32 AMJun 23, 4:59 AM

41.5%chance

5245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

842

Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?

Aug 4, 1:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.05%chance

9199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

88

Municipal bond interest tax break limited by EOY?

Mar 20, 2:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

919

Will Manifold allow sub-1% limit orders by EOY 2026?

Aug 14, 5:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.59%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1029

972

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