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Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Apr 17, 3:47 PMDec 17, 9:59 PM

18.99%chance

12114248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2239

976

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.13%chance

810234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20206

7879

Will Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

67.94%chance

66109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14556

6870

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.01%chance

255857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14146

7120

Will Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

65.01%chance

85508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13632

7336

If term limits are repealed, will Barack Obama run for president in 2028?

Nov 8, 2:31 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

26.54%chance

102965

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1664

601

Will Republicans lawmakers try to repeal the current presidential term limit before the 2028 election?

Nov 14, 12:10 AMNov 8, 7:59 AM

24.48%chance

171964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1811

587

Will Anthropic allow me to have a daily or weekly usage credit limit in 2026?

Jul 21, 7:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.99%chance

151914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1688

593

Will technical limitations or safeguards significantly restrict public access to smarter-than-almost-all-humans AGI?

Jun 10, 7:27 PMJun 11, 3:59 AM

51.14%chance

141756

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

977

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Nov 23, 1:47 AMJan 2, 1:46 AM

33.02%chance

8850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2129

1474

Will there be new federal regulations in the US limiting employers' access to employee computer activity data by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:32 AMJun 23, 4:59 AM

41.5%chance

5245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

842

Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?

Aug 4, 1:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.41%chance

10209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

80

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