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Prediction markets for Line of Control
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 3rd District?
Oct 6, 6:07 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM
29239428
OptionProbability
83
17
0
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Washington's 5th District?
Oct 6, 6:25 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM
11168573
OptionProbability
95
5
0
Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?
Apr 25, 8:31 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM
35.09%chance
282109556
OptionVotes
1034
911
OptionProbability
31
28
19
16
5
1
1
0
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Arkansas' 2nd District?
Oct 6, 5:39 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM
1176106
OptionProbability
95
5
0
Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2.2%chance
7120905
OptionVotes
3599
875
Will a top-10 LMArena model have weight-based online learning by 2028?
Dec 4, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.97%chance
1418493
OptionVotes
2262
1776
Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina's 5th District?
Oct 6, 6:08 AMNov 18, 7:59 AM
1015922
OptionProbability
96
4
0
Will Trump say that Moon should become a state before the end of his term?
Feb 11, 7:37 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM
15.51%chance
709410
OptionVotes
2338
429
Will a top-10 LMArena model have weight-based online learning by 2027?
Jan 16, 2:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.26%chance
51300
OptionVotes
2300
574
OptionVotes
1015
985
Will a top-10 LMArena model have weight-based online learning by 2029?
Jan 16, 2:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
64.89%chance
5815
OptionVotes
1133
920


