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Top stories

Blockstream Launches Simplicity, Bringing Smart Contracts to Bitcoin via Liquid

Blockstream Launches Simplicity, Bringing Smart Contracts to Bitcoin via Liquid

Authors

12

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Liquid

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

29.57%chance

1953878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16624

6806

Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?

Dec 22, 1:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.83%chance

578939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

514

Will I complete my economics Bachelor's degree at the University of Bonn in 3 years. [Ṁ1337 liquidity subsidy]

Nov 19, 1:57 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

90.2%chance

185249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4897

736

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]

Nov 29, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.14%chance

262675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

866

Will Devansh have a liquid net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?

Feb 9, 5:30 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

93.04%chance

121981

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2739

713

Will the TSA allow >200ml containers of liquid on flights by 2030

Dec 14, 5:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.93%chance

441866

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

945

Will the world's first general artificial intelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]

Mar 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

42.78%chance

331249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

957

Will the world's first superintelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]

Mar 26, 12:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.08%chance

26964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

916

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.44%chance

9859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

571

Resolves as half the fractional change in CO2 emissions between 2030 and 2023 [added liquidity]

Mar 1, 10:44 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

48.58%chance

8331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

876

624

Is this platform so silly that its liquidity will be so shiite that a mid-tier guesser can still move markets in '26?

Jul 26, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.64%chance

9127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Manifold enacts change to make markets more liquid by EOY 2025?

Apr 18, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.53%chance

672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 4, 2025
Aug 4, 2025
Software
Blockchains
Tech
Blockstream Launches Simplicity, Bringing Smart Contracts to Bitcoin via Liquid
Authors
12
1 day ago

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