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Prediction markets for Liquidity

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

10%chance

66260292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

300070

33326

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

29.57%chance

1953878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16624

6806

Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?

Dec 22, 1:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.33%chance

5711789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1613

706

Apple reverts or allows reverting iOS 'liquid glass' UI by year-end?

Sep 16, 7:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.17%chance

267660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2686

372

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]

Nov 29, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.14%chance

262675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

866

Will Devansh have a liquid net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?

Feb 9, 5:30 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

93.04%chance

121981

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2739

713

Will the TSA allow >200ml containers of liquid on flights by 2030

Dec 14, 5:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.93%chance

441866

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

945

Will the world's first general artificial intelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]

Mar 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

42.78%chance

331249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

957

Will Manifold make any changes to liquidity application on Multiple Choice or Set markets before 2026?

Nov 6, 12:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

51050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

488

Will the world's first superintelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]

Mar 26, 12:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.08%chance

26964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

916

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.44%chance

9859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

571

Resolves as half the fractional change in CO2 emissions between 2030 and 2023 [added liquidity]

Mar 1, 10:44 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

48.58%chance

8331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

876

624

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