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Prediction markets for Liquidity Provider

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

296432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2124

471

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?

Oct 4, 10:49 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

95%chance

193985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2961

775

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2030?

Apr 12, 9:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

32.27%chance

312311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1324

760

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?

Apr 12, 9:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.49%chance

322205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

969

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?

Oct 4, 10:51 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

70.82%chance

281284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

875

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

86.55%chance

201020

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1285

908

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8789

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None reach orbit by EOY 2035

Other

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

54

28

6

5

4

4

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

81.85%chance

16754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1559

816

Will Brightline (Florida) default in 2026

Feb 4, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.56%chance

5315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

969

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Nov 20, 4:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.71%chance

5262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

Will the DTCC launch their tokenization service in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

Will I earn more than Ṁ100 in commissions from this market?

Apr 20, 6:30 PMMay 20, 6:25 PM

23.45%chance

481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

105

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