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Prediction markets for Liquidity Provider

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2026?

Oct 4, 10:49 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

97.96%chance

248314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4031

818

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?

Oct 4, 10:49 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

92.41%chance

192985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2045

835

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?

Apr 12, 9:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.81%chance

322005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

975

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2030?

Apr 12, 9:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.18%chance

301991

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

956

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?

Oct 4, 10:51 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

61.63%chance

27946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

944

If PredictIt has to shut down, will they let traders get their money out?

Mar 26, 1:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.96%chance

19752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1360

932

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7729

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None (resolves if none have reached orbit by question end - EOY 2035)

Other

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

61

18

7

6

5

4

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

79.18%chance

18570

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

835

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

74.04%chance

15304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

935

Will Amit have visible abs by April 25, 2026?

May 7, 9:19 PMApr 26, 12:00 AM

80.08%chance

6261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

50

Will there be animated media of My Little Pony "Generation 6" before...?

Apr 5, 6:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5116

OptionProbability

2030

2028

2029

2027

2026

2025

71

66

66

50

30

0

Will Manifold topic pages support URL query parameters for status, sort order, etc before 2026?

Dec 29, 7:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

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