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Prediction markets for Liquidity Provider

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.06%chance

5716388

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1784

561

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?

Oct 4, 10:49 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

94.28%chance

204513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2632

793

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2030?

Apr 12, 9:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

32.27%chance

312311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1324

760

When will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?

Jan 4, 7:34 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

72263

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jul 2029

Before Jan 2029

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

92

87

85

73

54

45

32

0

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?

Apr 12, 9:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.49%chance

322205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

969

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

89.25%chance

201319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1584

867

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?

Oct 4, 10:51 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

70.82%chance

281284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

875

Which will be the first hybrid-propellant rocket to reach orbit?

Apr 4, 1:46 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

8789

OptionProbability

Eris (Gilmour Space)

None reach orbit by EOY 2035

Other

Kestrel V (ATSpace)

Aurora (Reaction Dynamics)

SL1 (HyImpulse)

54

28

6

5

4

4

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

81.85%chance

16754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1559

816

Will Brightline (Florida) default in 2026

Feb 4, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.44%chance

7505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1138

878

Will the Coalition next split before the next election?

Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

43.52%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

56

Will the DTCC launch their tokenization service in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58%chance

492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

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