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Prediction markets for Liquidity Provider

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.29%chance

6420347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1846

542

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?

Oct 4, 10:49 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

94.31%chance

214523

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2642

793

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2030?

Apr 12, 9:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.14%chance

322461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1474

695

When will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?

Jan 4, 7:34 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

72263

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2030

Before Jul 2029

Before Jan 2029

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

92

87

85

73

54

45

32

0

Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?

Apr 12, 9:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.49%chance

322205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

969

Will Brightline (Florida) default in 2026

Feb 4, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.76%chance

91855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2228

449

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

89.25%chance

201319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1584

867

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?

Oct 4, 10:51 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

70.82%chance

281284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

875

Will Databricks IPO before 2028?

Oct 1, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.45%chance

131031

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1236

809

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

82.99%chance

16842

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1647

797

Will the DTCC launch their tokenization service in 2026?

Jan 7, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.55%chance

7297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

310

32

Will the Coalition next split before the next election?

Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

43.52%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

56

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