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Prediction markets for List

How many of the listed riders will start the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?

Aug 4, 8:20 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

1134364

OptionProbability

At least 3

At least 4

At least 5

At least 6

At least 7

At least 8

All 9

97

96

91

84

62

15

1

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45%chance

324093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

768

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

665

Will Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom be listed on the Wikipedia best video games of all time?

Oct 14, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

79.66%chance

301588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

931

Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list ever be removed or broken?

Sep 18, 11:13 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

50%chance

241427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

829

Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list be removed or broken before 2030?

Mar 11, 4:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.56%chance

17811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

967

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

47.56%chance

8509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:17 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

41%chance

5419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

834

Will any mobile game reach a player count of 700 million players before 2027, according to Wikipedia's list?

Apr 6, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.72%chance

15367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

890

Will a VR video game make the Wikipedia "best of all time" list by 2030?

Nov 8, 8:36 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

70.44%chance

17348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

958

Will Forbes put Satoshi Nakamoto on The World's Billionaires list by 2030?

Jan 12, 5:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.98%chance

15250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

946

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

41%chance

3224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

834

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