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Prediction markets for List

How many of the listed riders will start the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?

Aug 4, 8:20 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

614257

OptionProbability

At least 3

At least 4

At least 5

At least 6

At least 7

At least 8

All 9

96

88

82

69

54

32

15

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.14%chance

323986

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

897

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

30.67%chance

122156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

665

Will Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom be listed on the Wikipedia best video games of all time?

Oct 14, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

80.38%chance

291578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1196

921

Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list ever be removed or broken?

Sep 18, 11:13 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

50%chance

241427

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1140

829

Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list be removed or broken before 2030?

Mar 11, 4:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.56%chance

17811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

967

Any change to the list of 15 US Government executive departments through mid 2027

Jan 2, 8:12 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

47.56%chance

8509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will any mobile game reach a player count of 700 million players before 2027, according to Wikipedia's list?

Apr 6, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.72%chance

15367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

890

Will a VR video game make the Wikipedia "best of all time" list by 2030?

Nov 8, 8:36 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

70.44%chance

17348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

958

Will linoleic acid be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:17 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

48.38%chance

4252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

968

Will omega-6 be listed separately on food labels in the US by 2030?

Oct 28, 1:18 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

45.85%chance

2111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

920

Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?

Mar 12, 11:30 AMDec 31, 12:28 PM

49.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

999

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