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Prediction markets for Live

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Dec 31, 10:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84%chance

1601087653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

745

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19%chance

115392222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1630

1118

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57.84%chance

211112342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1631

1155

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

Oct 9, 2:04 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

43.96%chance

30996059

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

886

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Nov 18, 2:49 PMOct 16, 10:59 PM

15.09%chance

12795441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2414

1793

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21%chance

18649763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16534

8756

Will @firstuserhere live upto the age of 420?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJun 16, 6:29 PM

7.5%chance

3442381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1962

868

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Apr 20, 10:07 AMJun 15, 1:03 AM

21.73%chance

6137278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

776

will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?

Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.92%chance

2820856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6124

5575

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.51%chance

195543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10062

2804

Will Warren Buffet live to 100?

Oct 24, 2:27 PMAug 31, 6:59 AM

28.52%chance

302800

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1586

633

Do we live in a simulation?

Nov 24, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

38%chance

472283

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

921

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