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Prediction markets for Live

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Dec 31, 10:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

84%chance

1801110275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

745

Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000

Mar 8, 5:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.39%chance

117393080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1574

1393

Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?

Mar 26, 12:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52%chance

216112918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1451

1302

Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?

Oct 9, 2:04 AMJan 16, 4:59 AM

41.76%chance

31797379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

847

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?

Nov 18, 2:49 PMOct 16, 10:59 PM

12%chance

12796274

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2989

1703

Will Joe Biden live to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 13, 7:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21%chance

18649763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16534

8756

Will @firstuserhere live upto the age of 420?

Aug 26, 7:05 AMJun 16, 6:29 PM

7.5%chance

3442381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1962

868

Will I live to be 150 years old?

Apr 20, 10:07 AMJun 15, 1:03 AM

11%chance

6138178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1517

897

will human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?

Nov 7, 12:59 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.92%chance

2820856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6124

5575

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.48%chance

205553

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10072

2801

Do we live in a simulation?

Nov 24, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

42.55%chance

513369

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

815

Will Warren Buffet live to 100?

Oct 24, 2:27 PMAug 31, 6:59 AM

37.18%chance

312990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1302

771

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