OptionProbability
Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX
Tarek Mansour, Kalshi
Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi
Shayne Coplan, Polymarket
Michael S. Selig, Chairman of the CFTC
Terry Duffy, CME
92
70
46
27
12
10
Not by the end of 2050
2041–2050
2037–2040
2033–2036
2026–2028
2029–2032
75
14
5
3
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
110
99
