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Prediction markets for long

Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]

Jan 9, 8:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.96%chance

68273742

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6934

144

How long (in months) will patio11’s sabbatical be?

Jun 8, 6:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3524702

OptionProbability

60-63

48-51

51-54

45-48

54-57

57-60

39-42

42-45

36-39

18-21

21-24

24-27

27-30

30-33

33-36

18

14

14

12

10

10

8

8

5

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will King Charles III of England's reign be long enough for the development of AGI?

Sep 8, 6:44 PMSep 16, 6:59 AM

12.26%chance

655133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1917

763

Will we have cheap long-distance jet packs by 2030?🔥

Jul 18, 8:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.13%chance

523832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

937

How Long will King Charles reign?

May 7, 7:10 AMMay 7, 8:59 PM

16.52%chance

333367

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1629

773

Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?

Dec 12, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

41.6%chance

391474

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

938

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.92%chance

17822

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1097

737

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Jan 9, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28%chance

19558

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1073

697

Will a quantum money that can support a long-term galactic civilization be designed before 2035?

Jul 23, 4:19 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.38%chance

12497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

979

Is human civilization compatible with computers in the long term?

Mar 1, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.81%chance

12263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

978

How long will it be until Candace Owen’s releases the Egyptian plane timeline? (From time of post)

Jan 28, 1:19 AMJan 1, 1:19 AM

00

OptionProbability

0-9 Days

10-49 Days

50-99 Days

100+ Days

25

25

25

25

How long will my career be?

Mar 16, 4:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

2026-2035

2036-2045

2046-2055

2056-2065

2066-2075

2076-2085

2086-2095

2096-2100

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

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