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Prediction markets for long

Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]

Jan 9, 8:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.07%chance

77308955

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4950

202

How long (in months) will patio11’s sabbatical be?

Jun 8, 6:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3524949

OptionProbability

60-63

48-51

51-54

45-48

54-57

57-60

42-45

39-42

18-21

21-24

24-27

27-30

30-33

33-36

36-39

19

15

15

12

10

10

9

8

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will we have cheap long-distance jet packs by 2030?🔥

Jul 18, 8:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.13%chance

523832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

937

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

27.79%chance

111598

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1612

620

Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?

Dec 12, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

41.6%chance

391474

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

938

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.92%chance

17822

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1097

737

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Jan 9, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28%chance

19558

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1073

697

Will a quantum money that can support a long-term galactic civilization be designed before 2035?

Jul 23, 4:19 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.23%chance

13504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1031

977

Is human civilization compatible with computers in the long term?

Mar 1, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.81%chance

12263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

978

How long will it be until Candace Owen’s releases the Egyptian plane timeline? (From time of post)

Jan 28, 1:19 AMJan 1, 1:19 AM

00

OptionProbability

0-9 Days

10-49 Days

50-99 Days

100+ Days

25

25

25

25

How long to beat GTA VI (Main + Extra) on HowLongToBeat, as of end of 2026?

Jun 24, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Under 30h

30h to under 40h

40h to under 50h

50h to under 60h

60h to under 70h

70h to under 80h

80h to under 90h

90h to under 100h

100h or more

N/A — no qualifying value (see rules)

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

How long will my career be?

Mar 16, 4:47 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

2026-2035

2036-2045

2046-2055

2056-2065

2066-2075

2076-2085

2086-2095

2096-2100

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

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