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Prediction markets for Longevity by Design

Aging cured by 2040 if AGI by 2030?

May 7, 9:30 PMDec 30, 9:09 PM

29%chance

251554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

When will the first Mars samples be returned to Earth?

Jul 27, 5:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.05%chance

181129

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1527

849

What's better?

Mar 26, 11:56 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

7253

OptionProbability

Minecraft

Valorant

CS:2

CS 1.6

Rainbow Siege 6

Where Winds Meet

Forza Horizon 5/6

67

10

5

5

5

5

5

Will a human-proven cure for aging that increases life expectancy by at least 20 years exist by 2036?

Jan 20, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.14%chance

7104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

50

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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